Unknown future precipitation is the dominant source of uncertainty for many streamflow
forecasts. Numerical weather prediction (NWP) models can be used to generate quantitative …

There are significant uncertainties inherent in precipitation forecasts and these uncertainties
can be communicated to users via large ensembles that are generated using stochastic …

The fractions skill score (FSS) was one of the measures that formed part of the
Intercomparison of Spatial Forecast Verification Methods project. The FSS was used to …

Direct Assimilation of Radar Reflectivity without Tangent Linear and Adjoint of the Nonlinear
Observation Operator in the GSI-Based EnVar System: Methodology and Experiment with the 8 …

Abstract The Fractions Skill Score (FSS) is a spatial verification metric routinely computed in
the operational verification suite. It enables the comparison of forecasts of different …

Experiments with two ensemble systems of resolutions 10 km (MF10km) and 2 km (MF2km)
were designed to examine the value of cloud-resolving ensemble forecast in predicting …

What Does a Convection-Allowing Ensemble of Opportunity Buy Us in Forecasting
Thunderstorms? in: Weather and Forecasting Volume 35 Issue 6 (2020) Jump to Content …

Berner, J., FJ Doblas-Reyes, TN Palmer, G. Shutts, and A. Weisheimer, 2008: Impact of a
quasi-stochastic cellular automaton backscatter scheme on the systematic error and …

In the area of hydrological risk management, both Quantitative Precipitation Estimates (QPE)
and Quantitative Precipitation Forecasts short time scales, ie, for relatively small river and …

The Met Office has developed and demonstrated an hourly cycling 1.5 km resolution NWP‐
based nowcast system (0–6 h forecasts) using four‐dimensional variational data …