Adaptive conformal predictions for time series

M Zaffran, O Féron, Y Goude, J Josse… - International …, 2022 - proceedings.mlr.press
Uncertainty quantification of predictive models is crucial in decision-making problems.
Conformal prediction is a general and theoretically sound answer. However, it requires …

[HTML][HTML] Mathematical optimization in classification and regression trees

E Carrizosa, C Molero-Río, D Romero Morales - Top, 2021 - Springer
Classification and regression trees, as well as their variants, are off-the-shelf methods in
Machine Learning. In this paper, we review recent contributions within the Continuous …

[HTML][HTML] A forest of forests: a spatially weighted and computationally efficient formulation of geographical random forests

S Georganos, S Kalogirou - ISPRS International Journal of Geo …, 2022 - mdpi.com
The aim of this paper is to present developments of an advanced geospatial analytics
algorithm that improves the prediction power of a random forest regression model while …

[HTML][HTML] A novel short-term ship motion prediction algorithm based on EMD and adaptive PSO–LSTM with the sliding window approach

X Geng, Y Li, Q Sun - Journal of Marine Science and Engineering, 2023 - mdpi.com
Under the influence of variable sea conditions, a ship will have an oscillating motion
comprising six degrees of freedom, all of which are connected to each other. Among these …

Nearest‐neighbor sparse Cholesky matrices in spatial statistics

A Datta - Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Computational …, 2022 - Wiley Online Library
Gaussian process (GP) is a staple in the toolkit of a spatial statistician. Well‐documented
computing roadblocks in the analysis of large geospatial datasets using GPs have now …

Point break: using machine learning to uncover a critical mass in women's representation

KD Funk, HL Paul, AQ Philips - Political Science Research and …, 2022 - cambridge.org
Decades of research has debated whether women first need to reach a “critical mass” in the
legislature before they can effectively influence legislative outcomes. This study contributes …

[HTML][HTML] Comparison of machine learning algorithms for merging gridded satellite and earth-observed precipitation data

G Papacharalampous, H Tyralis, A Doulamis… - Water, 2023 - mdpi.com
Gridded satellite precipitation datasets are useful in hydrological applications as they cover
large regions with high density. However, they are not accurate in the sense that they do not …

[HTML][HTML] Global patterns and key drivers of stream nitrogen concentration: A machine learning approach

R Sheikholeslami, JW Hall - Science of the Total Environment, 2023 - Elsevier
Anthropogenic loading of nitrogen to river systems can pose serious health hazards and
create critical environmental threats. Quantification of the magnitude and impact of …

[HTML][HTML] Physiological variables in machine learning QSARs allow for both cross-chemical and cross-species predictions

JP Zubrod, N Galic, M Vaugeois, DA Dreier - … and Environmental Safety, 2023 - Elsevier
A major challenge in ecological risk assessment is estimating chemical-induced effects
across taxa without species-specific testing. Where ecotoxicological data may be more …

Latent Gaussian model boosting

F Sigrist - IEEE Transactions on Pattern Analysis and Machine …, 2022 - ieeexplore.ieee.org
Latent Gaussian models and boosting are widely used techniques in statistics and machine
learning. Tree-boosting shows excellent prediction accuracy on many data sets, but …