An assessment of Earth's climate sensitivity using multiple lines of evidence

SC Sherwood, MJ Webb, JD Annan… - Reviews of …, 2020 - Wiley Online Library
We assess evidence relevant to Earth's equilibrium climate sensitivity per doubling of
atmospheric CO2, characterized by an effective sensitivity S. This evidence includes …

Water vapor and lapse rate feedbacks in the climate system

R Colman, BJ Soden - Reviews of Modern Physics, 2021 - APS
Water vapor is a greenhouse gas that dominates Earth's terrestrial radiation absorption. As
the planetary temperature warms, forced by increasing CO 2 and other greenhouse gases …

Global warming in the pipeline

JE Hansen, M Sato, L Simons… - Oxford Open Climate …, 2023 - academic.oup.com
Improved knowledge of glacial-to-interglacial global temperature change yields Charney
(fast-feedback) equilibrium climate sensitivity 1.2±0.3° C (2σ) per W/m2, which is 4.8° C±1.2° …

Escalating global exposure to compound heat-humidity extremes with warming

D Li, J Yuan, RE Kopp - Environmental Research Letters, 2020 - iopscience.iop.org
Heat stress harms human health, agriculture, the economy, and the environment more
broadly. Exposure to heat stress is increasing with rising global temperatures. While most …

Robust decrease in El Niño/Southern Oscillation amplitude under long-term warming

CW Callahan, C Chen, M Rugenstein… - Nature Climate …, 2021 - nature.com
Abstract El Niño/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is the primary mode of interannual climate
variability, and understanding its response to climate change is critical, but research remains …

[HTML][HTML] Emergent constraints on equilibrium climate sensitivity in CMIP5: do they hold for CMIP6?

M Schlund, A Lauer, P Gentine… - Earth System …, 2020 - esd.copernicus.org
An important metric for temperature projections is the equilibrium climate sensitivity (ECS),
which is defined as the global mean surface air temperature change caused by a doubling …

Equilibrium climate sensitivity estimated by equilibrating climate models

M Rugenstein, J Bloch‐Johnson… - Geophysical …, 2020 - Wiley Online Library
The methods to quantify equilibrium climate sensitivity are still debated. We collect millennial‐
length simulations of coupled climate models and show that the global mean equilibrium …

Contrasting fast and slow intertropical convergence zone migrations linked to delayed Southern Ocean warming

W Liu, S Li, C Li, M Rugenstein, AP Thomas - Nature Climate Change, 2024 - nature.com
Migrations of the intertropical convergence zone (ITCZ) have significant impacts on tropical
climate and society. Here we examine the ITCZ migration caused by CO2 increase using …

Collapsed upwelling projected to weaken ENSO under sustained warming beyond the twenty-first century

Q Peng, SP Xie, C Deser - Nature Climate Change, 2024 - nature.com
Abstract The El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) in a warming climate has been studied
extensively, but the response beyond 2100 has received little attention. Here, using long …

Time-variations of the climate feedback parameter λ are associated with the Pacific Decadal Oscillation

B Meyssignac, J Chenal, N Loeb… - … Earth & Environment, 2023 - nature.com
Climate models suggest that the climate feedback parameter λ, which denotes the
magnitude of the Earth radiative response to a change in global surface temperature, varies …