Many applications in decision making under uncertainty and probabilistic risk assessment
require the assessment of multiple, dependent uncertain quantities, so that in addition to …

Expert elicitation is deployed when data are absent or uninformative and critical decisions
must be made. In designing an expert elicitation, most practitioners seek to achieve best …

Quantitative expert judgements are used in reliability assessments to inform critically
important decisions. Structured elicitation protocols have been advocated to improve expert …

In Taiwan, the most advantageous tender in governmental procurement is the selection of a
general contractor based on a score or ranking evaluated by a committee. Due to personal …

The aim of the paper is to estimate a system technical life. When estimating a residual
technical life statistically, a big amount of tribo-diagnostic data is used. This data serves as …

The paper deals with application of selected analytical methods in order to analyse field
data from heavy off-road military vehicles. The information from the engine oil are interpreted …

We examine whether it is worthwhile eliciting subjective judgements to account for
dependency in a multivariate Poisson-Gamma probability model. The challenge of …

Typically, full Bayesian estimation of correlated event rates can be computationally
challenging since estimators are intractable. When estimation of event rates represents one …

Since agile methods began to be used for software development, project managers have
been looking for ways to improve these projects. Uncertainty quantification allows …

The paper deals with application of selected analytical methods for analysing field data from
heavy off-road military vehicles. The information from the engine oil are interpreted in form of …