Expert judgement for dependence in probabilistic modelling: A systematic literature review and future research directions
C Werner, T Bedford, RM Cooke, AM Hanea… - European Journal of …, 2017 - Elsevier
Many applications in decision making under uncertainty and probabilistic risk assessment
require the assessment of multiple, dependent uncertain quantities, so that in addition to …
require the assessment of multiple, dependent uncertain quantities, so that in addition to …
Uncertainty quantification with experts: Present status and research needs
AM Hanea, V Hemming, GF Nane - Risk Analysis, 2022 - Wiley Online Library
Expert elicitation is deployed when data are absent or uninformative and critical decisions
must be made. In designing an expert elicitation, most practitioners seek to achieve best …
must be made. In designing an expert elicitation, most practitioners seek to achieve best …
Improving expert forecasts in reliability: Application and evidence for structured elicitation protocols
V Hemming, N Armstrong, MA Burgman… - Quality and Reliability …, 2020 - Wiley Online Library
Quantitative expert judgements are used in reliability assessments to inform critically
important decisions. Structured elicitation protocols have been advocated to improve expert …
important decisions. Structured elicitation protocols have been advocated to improve expert …
Multi-criteria decision making of contractor selection in mass rapid transit station development using bayesian fuzzy prospect model
MY Cheng, SH Yeh, WC Chang - Sustainability, 2020 - mdpi.com
In Taiwan, the most advantageous tender in governmental procurement is the selection of a
general contractor based on a score or ranking evaluated by a committee. Due to personal …
general contractor based on a score or ranking evaluated by a committee. Due to personal …
Engine residual technical life estimation based on tribo data
D Vališ, L Zak, O Pokora - Eksploatacja i Niezawodność, 2014 - infona.pl
The aim of the paper is to estimate a system technical life. When estimating a residual
technical life statistically, a big amount of tribo-diagnostic data is used. This data serves as …
technical life statistically, a big amount of tribo-diagnostic data is used. This data serves as …
Selected mathematical functions used for operation data information
D Valis, L Zak, A Walek… - Safety, Reliability and …, 2014 - api.taylorfrancis.com
The paper deals with application of selected analytical methods in order to analyse field
data from heavy off-road military vehicles. The information from the engine oil are interpreted …
data from heavy off-road military vehicles. The information from the engine oil are interpreted …
Is eliciting dependency worth the effort? A study for the multivariate Poisson-Gamma probability model
R Schwarzenegger, J Quigley… - Proceedings of the …, 2023 - journals.sagepub.com
We examine whether it is worthwhile eliciting subjective judgements to account for
dependency in a multivariate Poisson-Gamma probability model. The challenge of …
dependency in a multivariate Poisson-Gamma probability model. The challenge of …
A Bayes linear Bayes method for estimation of correlated event rates
J Quigley, KJ Wilson, L Walls, T Bedford - Risk analysis, 2013 - Wiley Online Library
Typically, full Bayesian estimation of correlated event rates can be computationally
challenging since estimators are intractable. When estimation of event rates represents one …
challenging since estimators are intractable. When estimation of event rates represents one …
A model for dealing with epistemic uncertainties in agile software project management
JF Barbosa, IH de Farias Junior… - Available at SSRN …, 2023 - papers.ssrn.com
Since agile methods began to be used for software development, project managers have
been looking for ways to improve these projects. Uncertainty quantification allows …
been looking for ways to improve these projects. Uncertainty quantification allows …
Prediction of further Operation based on vehicle Tribo data
D Valis, L Zak, J Chaloupka - 2013 IEEE International …, 2013 - ieeexplore.ieee.org
The paper deals with application of selected analytical methods for analysing field data from
heavy off-road military vehicles. The information from the engine oil are interpreted in form of …
heavy off-road military vehicles. The information from the engine oil are interpreted in form of …