Echo chambers and their effects on economic and political outcomes
In this review, we survey the economics literature on echo chambers. We identify echo
chambers as arising from a combination of two phenomena:(a) the choice of individuals to …
chambers as arising from a combination of two phenomena:(a) the choice of individuals to …
Behavioral implications of causal misperceptions
R Spiegler - Annual Review of Economics, 2020 - annualreviews.org
This review presents an approach to modeling decision making under misspecified
subjective models. The approach is based on the idea that decision makers impose …
subjective models. The approach is based on the idea that decision makers impose …
A model of competing narratives
K Eliaz, R Spiegler - American Economic Review, 2020 - aeaweb.org
We formalize the argument that political disagreements can be traced to a “clash of
narratives.” Drawing on the “Bayesian Networks” literature, we represent a narrative by a …
narratives.” Drawing on the “Bayesian Networks” literature, we represent a narrative by a …
Inflation narratives
We provide evidence on the stories that people tell to explain a historically notable rise in
inflation using samples of experts, US households, and managers. We document substantial …
inflation using samples of experts, US households, and managers. We document substantial …
Why bounded rationality?
R Viale - Routledge handbook of bounded rationality, 2020 - taylorfrancis.com
In the philosophy of science why-questions are a way to address the foundations of scientific
explanation. For Bas van Fraassen (1980), a theory of explanation is essentially a theory of …
explanation. For Bas van Fraassen (1980), a theory of explanation is essentially a theory of …
Dynamic concern for misspecification
G Lanzani - Available at SSRN 4454504, 2022 - papers.ssrn.com
We consider an agent who posits a set of probabilistic models for the payoff-relevant
outcomes. The agent has a prior over this set but fears the actual model is omitted and …
outcomes. The agent has a prior over this set but fears the actual model is omitted and …
[PDF][PDF] Narrative-driven fluctuations in sentiment: Evidence linking traditional and social media
A Macaulay, W Song - 2023 - aeaweb.org
This paper studies the role of narratives for macroeconomic fluctuations. Microfounding
narratives as directed acyclic graphs, we show how exposure to different narratives can …
narratives as directed acyclic graphs, we show how exposure to different narratives can …
[PDF][PDF] Robust Model Misspecification and Paradigm Shifts
C Ba - 2022 - papers.ssrn.com
This paper studies the forms of model misspecification that are more likely to persist when
an agent compares her subjective model with competing models. The agent learns about an …
an agent compares her subjective model with competing models. The agent learns about an …
Robust Misspecified Models and Paradigm Shifts
C Ba - arXiv preprint arXiv:2106.12727, 2021 - arxiv.org
Individuals use models to guide decisions, but many models are wrong. This paper studies
which misspecified models are likely to persist when individuals also entertain alternative …
which misspecified models are likely to persist when individuals also entertain alternative …