Changing El Niño–Southern oscillation in a warming climate
Originating in the equatorial Pacific, the El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) has highly
consequential global impacts, motivating the need to understand its responses to …
consequential global impacts, motivating the need to understand its responses to …
[HTML][HTML] Connections of climate change and variability to large and extreme forest fires in southeast Australia
Abstract The 2019/20 Black Summer bushfire disaster in southeast Australia was
unprecedented: the extensive area of forest burnt, the radiative power of the fires, and the …
unprecedented: the extensive area of forest burnt, the radiative power of the fires, and the …
Changing state of the climate system
2 Chapter 2 assesses observed large-scale changes in climate system drivers, key climate
indicators and 3 principal modes of variability. Chapter 3 considers model performance and …
indicators and 3 principal modes of variability. Chapter 3 considers model performance and …
Initialized Earth System prediction from subseasonal to decadal timescales
Abstract Initialized Earth System predictions are made by starting a numerical prediction
model in a state as consistent as possible to observations and running it forward in time for …
model in a state as consistent as possible to observations and running it forward in time for …
Anthropogenic impacts on twentieth-century ENSO variability changes
Abstract El Niño/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) sea surface temperature (SST) variability
increased after 1960, influenced by more frequent strong El Niño and La Niña events …
increased after 1960, influenced by more frequent strong El Niño and La Niña events …
Coupling of Indo-Pacific climate variability over the last millennium
Abstract The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) affects climate and rainfall across the world, and
most severely in nations surrounding the Indian Ocean,,–. The frequency and intensity of …
most severely in nations surrounding the Indian Ocean,,–. The frequency and intensity of …
Quantifying the uncertainty sources of future climate projections and narrowing uncertainties with bias correction techniques
Decomposing the uncertainty of global climate models is highly instructive in understanding
climate change. However, it remains unclear whether sources of uncertainty have changed …
climate change. However, it remains unclear whether sources of uncertainty have changed …
[HTML][HTML] Large-scale features and evaluation of the PMIP4-CMIP6 midHolocene simulations
The mid-Holocene (6000 years ago) is a standard experiment for the evaluation of the
simulated response of global climate models using paleoclimate reconstructions. The latest …
simulated response of global climate models using paleoclimate reconstructions. The latest …
[HTML][HTML] Greenhouse warming and internal variability increase extreme and central Pacific El Niño frequency since 1980
El Niño has been recorded to change its properties since the 1980s, characterized by more
common extreme El Niño and Central Pacific (CP) El Niño events. However, it is still unclear …
common extreme El Niño and Central Pacific (CP) El Niño events. However, it is still unclear …