While deterministically predicting the time and location of earthquakes remains impossible,
earthquake forecasting models can provide estimates of the probabilities of earthquakes …

Alerting for imminent earthquakes is particularly challenging due to the high nonlinearity and
nonstationarity of geodynamical phenomena. In this study, based on spatiotemporal …

The number of aftershocks increases with mainshock size following a well‐defined scaling
law. However, excursions from the average behavior are common. This variability is …

We present the development and testing of multiple epidemic‐type aftershock sequence
(ETAS)‐based earthquake forecasting models for Switzerland, aiming to identify suitable …

Recognizing earthquakes as foreshocks in real time would provide a valuable forecasting
capability. In a recent study, proposed a traffic‐light system that relies on abrupt changes in …

Abstract The US Geological Survey (USGS) has developed a national capability for
aftershock forecasting after significant earthquakes. Use of this capability began in August …

The M w 7.1 Ridgecrest earthquake sequence in California in July 2019 offered an
opportunity to evaluate in near‐real time the temporal and spatial variations in the average …

Earthquake nowcasting has been proposed as a means of tracking the change in large
earthquake potential in a seismically active area. The method was developed using …

Probabilistic seismic hazard analysis (PSHA) is a methodology with a long history and has
been widely implemented. However, in the conventional PSHA and sequence‐based …

Abstract The 2020 M w 5.8 Lone Pine earthquake, the largest earthquake on the Owens
Valley fault zone, eastern California, since the nineteenth century, ruptured an extensional …