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Numerical weather prediction models as well as the atmosphere itself can be viewed as
nonlinear dynamical systems in which the evolution depends sensitively on the initial …

This paper presents the development of the European Flood Alert System (EFAS), which
aims at increasing preparedness for floods in trans-national European river basins by …

Heavy Rainfall Associated with Double Low-Level Jets over Southern China. Part I:
Ensemble-Based Analysis in: Monthly Weather Review Volume 146 Issue 11 (2018) Jump …

Wind power is an increasingly used form of renewable energy. The uncertainty in wind
generation is very large due to the inherent variability in wind speed, and this needs to be …

During July 2010, a series of monsoonal deluges over northern Pakistan resulted in
catastrophic flooding, loss of life and property and an agricultural crisis that may last for …

The US Climate Variability and Predictability (CLIVAR) MJO Working Group (MJOWG) has
taken steps to promote the adoption of a uniform diagnostic and set of skill metrics for …

ABSTRACT A method is presented for deriving weather patterns objectively over an area of
interest, in this case the UK and surrounding European area. A set of 30 and eight patterns …

Abstract TIGGE, the THORPEX Interactive Grand Global Ensemble, is a World Weather
Research Programme project to accelerate the improvements in the accuracy of 1‐day to 2 …

Numerical weather prediction has seen, in the past 25 years, a shift from a 'deterministic'
approach, based on single numerical integrations, to a probabilistic one, with ensembles of …