Tropical cyclone climatology change greatly exacerbates US extreme rainfall–surge hazard

A Gori, N Lin, D Xi, K Emanuel - Nature Climate Change, 2022 - nature.com
Tropical cyclones (TCs) are drivers of extreme rainfall and surge, but the current and future
TC rainfall–surge joint hazard has not been well quantified. Using a physics-based …

Impact of climate change on New York City's coastal flood hazard: Increasing flood heights from the preindustrial to 2300 CE

AJ Garner, ME Mann, KA Emanuel… - Proceedings of the …, 2017 - National Acad Sciences
The flood hazard in New York City depends on both storm surges and rising sea levels. We
combine modeled storm surges with probabilistic sea-level rise projections to assess future …

Hurricane Sandy's flood frequency increasing from year 1800 to 2100

N Lin, RE Kopp, BP Horton… - Proceedings of the …, 2016 - National Acad Sciences
Coastal flood hazard varies in response to changes in storm surge climatology and the sea
level. Here we combine probabilistic projections of the sea level and storm surge …

A model for the complete radial structure of the tropical cyclone wind field. Part I: Comparison with observed structure

DR Chavas, N Lin, K Emanuel - Journal of the Atmospheric …, 2015 - journals.ametsoc.org
Part I of this work develops a simple model for the complete radial structure of the low-level
tropical cyclone wind field. The model is constructed by mathematically merging existing …

Global population profile of tropical cyclone exposure from 2002 to 2019

R Jing, S Heft-Neal, DR Chavas, M Griswold, Z Wang… - Nature, 2024 - nature.com
Tropical cyclones have far-reaching impacts on livelihoods and population health that often
persist years after the event,,–. Characterizing the demographic and socioeconomic profile …

Resolving tropical cyclone intensity in models

CA Davis - Geophysical Research Letters, 2018 - Wiley Online Library
In recent years, global weather forecast models and global climate models have begun to
depict intense tropical cyclones, even up to category 5 on the Saffir‐Simpson scale. In light …

[HTML][HTML] Extensive high-resolution synthetic aperture radar (SAR) data analysis of tropical cyclones: Comparisons with SFMR flights and best track

C Combot, A Mouche, J Knaff, Y Zhao… - Monthly Weather …, 2020 - journals.ametsoc.org
Extensive High-Resolution Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) Data Analysis of Tropical
Cyclones: Comparisons with SFMR Flights and Best Track in: Monthly Weather Review …

Physical understanding of the tropical cyclone wind-pressure relationship

DR Chavas, KA Reed, JA Knaff - Nature communications, 2017 - nature.com
The relationship between the two common measures of tropical cyclone intensity, the central
pressure deficit and the peak near-surface wind speed, is a long-standing problem in …

[HTML][HTML] Evaluation of a physics-based tropical cyclone rainfall model for risk assessment

D Xi, N Lin, J Smith - Journal of Hydrometeorology, 2020 - journals.ametsoc.org
Bacmeister, JT, KA Reed, C. Hannay, P. Lawrence, S. Bates, JE Truesdale, N. Rosenbloom,
and M. Levy, 2018: Projected changes in tropical cyclone activity under future warming …

[HTML][HTML] A simple model for predicting the tropical cyclone radius of maximum wind from outer size

DR Chavas, JA Knaff - Weather and Forecasting, 2022 - journals.ametsoc.org
The radius of maximum wind (R max) in a tropical cyclone governs the footprint of hazards,
including damaging wind, surge, and rainfall. However, R max is an inconstant quantity that …