Abstract Ensemble Forecast Operations (EFO) is a risk‐based approach of reservoir flood
control operations that incorporates ensemble streamflow predictions (ESPs) made by the …

ABSTRACT The Bureau of Reclamation (Reclamation) plays a central management role in
the Colorado River Basin (CRB), with an increasing focus on meeting the needs of …

A model to generate stochastic streamflow projections conditioned on quasi‐oscillatory
climate indices such as Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) and Atlantic Multi‐decadal …

Reservoir inflow forecasting plays an essential role in reservoir operation and management.
Considering the characteristics of monthly inflow (trend, seasonality, and randomness …

The use of probabilistic forecasts is necessary to take into account uncertainties and allow
for optimal risk-based decisions in streamflow forecasting at monthly to seasonal lead times …

Water is a limited and highly valuable resource. In many parts of the world, water agencies
allocate water according to agreed entitlement systems. The allocations are largely based …

Identifying significant large-scale climate indicators has the potential to improve long-range
streamflow forecasts. In this research, we develop streamflow forecasts for Lake Urmia …

Considering the complexity of reservoir systems, a model fusion approach is proposed in
this paper. According to different inflow information represented, the historical monthly data …

The pre-release operation has the potential to enhance the ability of a reservoir to manage
exceedance floods. However, the mechanisms for the initiation and termination of such …

Wavelet and hidden Markov-based modeling frameworks were developed to better capture
the nonstationarity and non-Gaussian characteristics of streamflow that linear models …