Short-and medium-range predictability of warm-season derechos. Part II: Convection-allowing ensemble forecasts

BZ Ribeiro, SJ Weiss, LF Bosart - Weather and Forecasting, 2024 - journals.ametsoc.org
This study explores convection-allowing ensemble (CAE) forecasts of a subset of 24 warm-
season (May–August) progressive derechos from 2012 to 2022. The derecho cases were …

Diagnosing storm mode with deep learning in convection-allowing models

RA Sobash, DJ Gagne, CL Becker… - Monthly Weather …, 2023 - journals.ametsoc.org
While convective storm mode is explicitly depicted in convection-allowing model (CAM)
output, subjectively diagnosing mode in large volumes of CAM forecasts can be …

Limitations of short-term thunderstorm forecasts from convection-allowing models with 3-km horizontal grid spacing

CA Kerr, PS Skinner, DR Stratman… - Weather and …, 2024 - journals.ametsoc.org
Forecasts from a 1-km horizontal grid spacing Warn-on-Forecast System prototype (WoFS-
1km) are compared to a 3-km WoFS (WoFS-3km) for 23 days when high-impact events …

Verification of Quasi-Linear Convective Systems Predicted by the Warn-on-Forecast System (WoFS)

KC Britt, PS Skinner, PL Heinselman… - Weather and …, 2024 - journals.ametsoc.org
Quasi-linear convective systems (QLCSs) can produce multiple hazards (eg, straight-line
winds, flash flooding, and mesovortex tornadoes) that pose a significant threat to life and …

TEDR: A spatiotemporal attention radar extrapolation network constrained by optical flow and distribution correction

J Liu, X Qian, L Peng, D Lou, Y Li - Atmospheric Research, 2024 - Elsevier
In recent years, deep learning has been widely applied to meteorological radar
extrapolation due to the shortcomings of traditional optical flow methods in predicting the …

A Comparative Analysis of Tornadic and Significant-Hail Supercells Within the Warn-On Forecast System (WoFS)

JW Kaufman - 2024 - search.proquest.com
Abstract The National Severe Storm Laboratory's Warn-on Forecast System (WoFS) is a high-
resolution ensemble of convection-allowing models (CAMs) designed for the short-term (0-6 …

[PDF][PDF] Analyses For Assessing The Centreline Translation, Asymmetrical Wind-Field, And Velocity Fluctuations Of Tornado Vortices

NC Bannigan - 2024 - ir.lib.uwo.ca
Tornadoes present an ever-increasing threat to communities worldwide, especially those
with geographic conditions that place them in the path of several tornadoes annually. These …

Unsupervised machine learning of tornado-producing storms in the southeastern United States

MR Steckler - 2023 - trace.tennessee.edu
The east-southeastern US is uniquely affected by storm and tornado-related damages,
costs, injuries, and deaths. Based on doppler radar, satellite, and modeled data, previous …

[引用][C] Identification and Verification of Mesoscale Convective Systems in the Models of the High Resolution Ensemble Forecast System

J Milne - 2024

[引用][C] Forecasting Quasi-Linear Convective Systems and Mesovortex Tornado Potential Using the Warn-on-Forecast System (WoFS)

K Britt - 2024