Tail risk premia and return predictability
The variance risk premium, defined as the difference between the actual and risk-neutral
expectations of the forward aggregate market variation, helps predict future market returns …
expectations of the forward aggregate market variation, helps predict future market returns …
The cross-quantilogram: Measuring quantile dependence and testing directional predictability between time series
This paper proposes the cross-quantilogram to measure the quantile dependence between
two time series. We apply it to test the hypothesis that one time series has no directional …
two time series. We apply it to test the hypothesis that one time series has no directional …
[图书][B] Heavy-tailed time series
R Kulik, P Soulier - 2020 - Springer
This book is concerned with extreme value theory for stochastic processes whose finite-
dimensional distributions are heavy-tailed in the restrictive sense of regular variation. These …
dimensional distributions are heavy-tailed in the restrictive sense of regular variation. These …
[图书][B] Time series clustering and classification
The beginning of the age of artificial intelligence and machine learning has created new
challenges and opportunities for data analysts, statisticians, mathematicians …
challenges and opportunities for data analysts, statisticians, mathematicians …
A survey of probabilistic timing analysis techniques for real-time systems
RI Davis, L Cucu-Grosjean - LITES: Leibniz Transactions on …, 2019 - eprints.whiterose.ac.uk
This survey covers probabilistic timing analysis techniques for real-time systems. It reviews
and critiques the key results in the field from its origins in 2000 to the latest research …
and critiques the key results in the field from its origins in 2000 to the latest research …
Quantile coherency: A general measure for dependence between cyclical economic variables
In this paper, we introduce quantile coherency to measure general dependence structures
emerging in the joint distribution in the frequency domain and argue that this type of …
emerging in the joint distribution in the frequency domain and argue that this type of …
Evolution of the information transmission between Chinese and international oil markets: a quantile-based framework
This paper investigates the evolution of the information transmission between Chinese and
international crude oil markets from the perspective of return and volatility spillovers through …
international crude oil markets from the perspective of return and volatility spillovers through …
A modeler's guide to extreme value software
This review paper surveys recent development in software implementations for extreme
value analyses since the publication of Stephenson and Gilleland (Extremes 8: 87–109,) …
value analyses since the publication of Stephenson and Gilleland (Extremes 8: 87–109,) …
An empirical review of dynamic extreme value models for forecasting value at risk, expected shortfall and expectile
C Candia, R Herrera - Journal of Empirical Finance, 2024 - Elsevier
This work provides a selective review of the most recent dynamic models based on extreme
value theory, in terms of their ability to forecast financial losses through different risk …
value theory, in terms of their ability to forecast financial losses through different risk …
Jump tails, extreme dependencies, and the distribution of stock returns
We provide a new framework for estimating the systematic and idiosyncratic jump tail risks in
financial asset prices. Our estimates are based on in-fill asymptotics for directly identifying …
financial asset prices. Our estimates are based on in-fill asymptotics for directly identifying …