The wisdom of timely crowds
In most forecasting contexts, each target event has a resolution time point at which the
“ground truth” is revealed or determined. It is reasonable to expect that as time passes, and …
“ground truth” is revealed or determined. It is reasonable to expect that as time passes, and …
[HTML][HTML] Analytic thinking outruns fluid reasoning in explaining rejection of pseudoscience, paranormal, and conspiracist beliefs
J Jastrzębski, A Chuderski - Intelligence, 2022 - Elsevier
Around one third of people across populations hold beliefs in epistemically unwarranted
claims and theories. Why this effect is so strong remains elusive. In three studies (total N …
claims and theories. Why this effect is so strong remains elusive. In three studies (total N …
Talent spotting in crowd prediction
P Atanasov, M Himmelstein - Judgment in predictive analytics, 2023 - Springer
Who is good at prediction? Addressing this question is key to recruiting and cultivating
accurate crowds and effectively aggregating their judgments. Recent research on …
accurate crowds and effectively aggregating their judgments. Recent research on …
Forecasting with judgment
This chapter explores the roles that human judgment plays in forecasting in organisations. It
focuses on the latest research findings to examine why, despite advances in predictive …
focuses on the latest research findings to examine why, despite advances in predictive …
Forecast Value Added in Demand Planning
Abstract 'Forecast value added'(FVA) is a term commonly used to measure the improved
accuracy achieved by judgmentally modifying a set of forecasts produced by statistical …
accuracy achieved by judgmentally modifying a set of forecasts produced by statistical …
Judgement and Decision-Making by Athlete-Team Selectors
A Ramanayakage, ND Ramanayaka - 2024 - opal.latrobe.edu.au
Judgement and Decision-Making by Athlete-Team Selectors Page 1 Judgement and
Decision-Making by Athlete-Team Selectors Submitted by Nilantha Dinesh Ramanayaka …
Decision-Making by Athlete-Team Selectors Submitted by Nilantha Dinesh Ramanayaka …