Variability conceals emerging trend in 100yr projections of UK local hourly rainfall extremes
Extreme precipitation is projected to intensify with warming, but how this will manifest locally
through time is uncertain. Here, we exploit an ensemble of convection-permitting transient …
through time is uncertain. Here, we exploit an ensemble of convection-permitting transient …
Challenges and outlook for convection-permitting climate modelling
Climate projections at very high resolution (kilometre-scale grid spacing) are becoming
affordable. These 'convection-permitting'models (CPMs), commonly used for weather …
affordable. These 'convection-permitting'models (CPMs), commonly used for weather …
Towards advancing scientific knowledge of climate change impacts on short-duration rainfall extremes
A large number of recent studies have aimed at understanding short-duration rainfall
extremes, due to their impacts on flash floods, landslides and debris flows and potential for …
extremes, due to their impacts on flash floods, landslides and debris flows and potential for …
Internal variability plays a dominant role in global climate projections of temperature and precipitation extremes
ML Blanusa, CJ López-Zurita, S Rasp - Climate Dynamics, 2023 - Springer
Climate projection uncertainty can be partitioned into model uncertainty, scenario
uncertainty and internal variability. Here, we investigate the different sources of uncertainty …
uncertainty and internal variability. Here, we investigate the different sources of uncertainty …
[HTML][HTML] Climate scenarios for Switzerland CH2018–approach and implications
AM Fischer, KM Strassmann, M Croci-Maspoli… - Climate Services, 2022 - Elsevier
To make sound decisions in the face of climate change, government agencies, policymakers
and private stakeholders require suitable climate information on local to regional scales. In …
and private stakeholders require suitable climate information on local to regional scales. In …
[HTML][HTML] Projected increase in windstorm severity and contribution from sting jets over the UK and Ireland
Extratropical windstorms can lead to extreme impacts in the UK; however, future changes in
windstorm frequency and intensity are uncertain due to natural variability and lack of model …
windstorm frequency and intensity are uncertain due to natural variability and lack of model …
[PDF][PDF] Knmi national climate scenarios 2023 for The Netherlands
R Van Dorland, J Beersma, J Bessembinder… - Scientific …, 2023 - edepot.wur.nl
This is the scientific report, which supports the Dutch 'gebruikersrapport'with more
background information on methods, results, and evaluation of the KNMI'23 national climate …
background information on methods, results, and evaluation of the KNMI'23 national climate …
Changing spatial structure of summer heavy rainfall, using convection‐permitting ensemble
Subdaily rainfall extremes have been found to intensify, both from observations and climate
model simulations, but much uncertainty remains regarding future changes in the spatial …
model simulations, but much uncertainty remains regarding future changes in the spatial …
Non-hydrostatic Regcm4 (RegCM4-NH): Evaluation of precipitation statistics at the convection-permitting scale over different domains
Recent studies over different geographical regions of the world have proven that regional
climate models at the convection-permitting scale (CPMs) improve the simulation of …
climate models at the convection-permitting scale (CPMs) improve the simulation of …
[HTML][HTML] Co-occurring wintertime flooding and extreme wind over Europe, from daily to seasonal timescales
The risk posed by heavy rain and strong wind is now suspected to be exacerbated by the
way they co-occur, yet this remains insufficiently understood to effectively plan and mitigate …
way they co-occur, yet this remains insufficiently understood to effectively plan and mitigate …