Internationalizing like china
We empirically characterize how China is internationalizing the Renminbi by staggering the
entry of different types of foreign investors into its domestic bond market and propose a …
entry of different types of foreign investors into its domestic bond market and propose a …
A quantitative theory of the credit score
What is the role of credit scores in credit markets? We argue that it is, in part, the market's
assessment of a person's unobservable type, which here we take to be patience. We …
assessment of a person's unobservable type, which here we take to be patience. We …
Hidden debt revelations
How reliable are public debt statistics? This paper quantifies the magnitude, characteristics,
and timing of hidden debt by tracking ex post data revisions across a comprehensive new …
and timing of hidden debt by tracking ex post data revisions across a comprehensive new …
The Costs and Consequences of Sovereign Borrowing
M Aguiar - IMF Economic Review, 2024 - Springer
In this lecture, I revisit whether sovereign debt markets have delivered on their promise of
fostering growth and enhancing risk sharing in emerging and developing economies. I use …
fostering growth and enhancing risk sharing in emerging and developing economies. I use …
Information frictions, reputation, and sovereign spreads
JM Morelli, M Moretti - Journal of Political Economy, 2023 - journals.uchicago.edu
We formulate a reputational model in which the type of government is time varying and
private information. Agents adjust their beliefs about the government's type (ie, reputation) …
private information. Agents adjust their beliefs about the government's type (ie, reputation) …
Reputation and partial default
This paper presents a continuous-time reputation model of sovereign debt allowing for both
varying levels of partial default and full default. In it, a government can be a nonstrategic …
varying levels of partial default and full default. In it, a government can be a nonstrategic …
Sovereign Debt Tolerance with Potentially Permanent Costs of Default
We investigate the effect of uncertainty about the nature of output costs of sovereign default
on debt tolerance. While the theoretical literature assumes output losses lasting until market …
on debt tolerance. While the theoretical literature assumes output losses lasting until market …
[PDF][PDF] Seniority and sovereign default: The role of official multilateral lenders
A Wicht - European University Institute, 2023 - raw.githubusercontent.com
Sovereign countries do not necessarily repay all its creditors. There is a clear pecking order
in which official multilateral lenders–ie mainly the International Monetary Fund and the …
in which official multilateral lenders–ie mainly the International Monetary Fund and the …
[PDF][PDF] Efficient Sovereign Debt Management in Emerging Economies
A Wicht - European University Institute, 2023 - congress-files.s3.amazonaws.com
This paper assesses the sovereign debt management of emerging economies in terms of
constrained Pareto efficiency. I derive a market economy in which a sovereign borrower …
constrained Pareto efficiency. I derive a market economy in which a sovereign borrower …
[PDF][PDF] International Currency Competition
We study how countries compete to become an international safe asset provider.
Governments in our model issue debt to a common set of investors, resulting in competition …
Governments in our model issue debt to a common set of investors, resulting in competition …