[图书][B] Time series analysis for the social sciences

JM Box-Steffensmeier, JR Freeman, MP Hitt… - 2014 - books.google.com
Time series, or longitudinal, data are ubiquitous in the social sciences. Unfortunately,
analysts often treat the time series properties of their data as a nuisance rather than a …

Voter responses to fiscal austerity

E Hübscher, T Sattler, M Wagner - British Journal of Political Science, 2021 - cambridge.org
Governments have great difficulties designing politically sustainable responses to rising
public debt. These difficulties are grounded in a limited understanding of the popular …

Fiscal consolidation under electoral risk

E Hübscher, T Sattler - European Journal of Political Research, 2017 - Wiley Online Library
The European debt crisis has uncovered serious tension between democratic politics and
market pressure in contemporary democracies. This tension arises when governments …

Do markets punish left governments?

T Sattler - The Journal of Politics, 2013 - journals.uchicago.edu
The political economy literature finds that stock markets drop after left-wing and increase
after right-wing electoral victories. This study shows that the size of this reaction strongly …

Monetary policy shocks and industrial output in BRICS countries

AA Kutu, H Ngalawa - SPOUDAI-Journal of Economics and …, 2016 - spoudai.unipi.gr
This study employs a Panel Structural Vector Autoregressive model (P-SVAR) to investigate
how monetary policy shocks affect industrial output in BRICS countries using monthly data …

The aggregate dynamics of campaigns

JM Box-Steffensmeier, D Darmofal… - The Journal of …, 2009 - journals.uchicago.edu
Daily interactions between partisan elites, the media, and citizens are the driving dynamic of
election campaigns and the central determinant of their outcomes. Accordingly, we develop …

The political payoff from performance target systems: no-brainer or no-gainer?

C Hood, R Dixon - Journal of Public Administration Research …, 2010 - academic.oup.com
Assuming elected politicians have some incentive to adopt public service management
systems that will help secure their reelection, this article tests 11 hypotheses about political …

Political capital

RD French - Representation, 2011 - Taylor & Francis
Political capital is a concept used regularly in the media though largely ignored by political
theory—the resource which politicians use to induce compliance from other power holders …

Modeling macro-political dynamics

PT Brandt, JR Freeman - Political Analysis, 2009 - cambridge.org
Analyzing macro-political processes is complicated by four interrelated problems: model
scale, endogeneity, persistence, and specification uncertainty. These problems are endemic …

Political liabilities: surviving banking crises

A Crespo-Tenorio, NM Jensen… - Comparative Political …, 2014 - journals.sagepub.com
Little is known about the political repercussions of banking crises despite the extensive
literature on the link between economic performance and political outcomes. We develop a …