[HTML][HTML] The macroeconomic effects of unconventional monetary policy: Comparing euro area and US models with shadow rates

S Hohberger, M Ratto, L Vogel - Economic Modelling, 2023 - Elsevier
This paper compares the macroeconomic effects of unconventional monetary policy (UMP)
measures in the euro area (EA) and the United States (US) in a unified framework. Using …

Should they stay or should they go? Negative interest rate policies under review

J Beckmann, KJ Gern, N Jannsen - International Economics and …, 2022 - Springer
Negative interest rate policies (NIRP) have become an established monetary policy
instrument in the toolkit of the ECB. We discuss NIRP in the euro area based on theoretical …

Get the lowdown: The international side of the fall in the US natural rate of interest

E Martínez-García - Economic Modelling, 2021 - Elsevier
I investigate the downward drift of US interest rates from 1984: Q1 to 2019: Q4. For this, I
bring the workhorse two-country New Keynesian model to data on the US and an aggregate …

Are the forecasts of professionals compatible with the Taylor Rule? Evidence from the Euro Area

RL Czudaj - Macroeconomic Dynamics, 2023 - cambridge.org
This article examines if professional forecasters form their expectations regarding the policy
rate of the European Central Bank (ECB) consistent with the Taylor rule. In doing so, we …

On the international co-movement of natural interest rates

L Agnello, V Castro, RM Sousa - Journal of International Financial Markets …, 2022 - Elsevier
Using quarterly data for 10 OECD countries and the Euro area and a Kalman filtering
technique, we investigate the international co-movement among natural interest rates. We …

Equilibrium real interest rates for the BRICS countries

J Klose - The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, 2020 - Elsevier
The equilibrium real interest rate is one of the most discussed variables in economics,
although it is unobservable. While it has been estimated with respect to various developed …

[PDF][PDF] The credit cycle and measurement of the natural rate of interest

E Deryugina, M Guseva… - Journal of Central Banking …, 2022 - sciendo.com
We conduct a Monte Carlo experiment using an ad-hoc New Keynesian model and a
tractable agent-based model to generate artificial credit cycle episodes. We show that …

Interest rate gaps in an uncertain global context: why “too” low (high) for “so” long?

L Agnello, V Castro, RM Sousa - Empirical Economics, 2023 - Springer
We study the behaviour of real interest rate gaps—ie periods of real interest rates above
(below) the natural interest rate—and link their length with a set of key observable …

Safe haven flows, natural interest rates and secular stagnation—Empirical evidence for Euro area countries

A Belke, J Klose - International Review of Economics & Finance, 2021 - Elsevier
This article introduces a new measure to capture safe haven flows for twelve Euro area
countries. Since those flows are suspected to alter the natural rate of interest, which is at the …

Forecasting ECB policy rates with different monetary policy rules

A Belke, J Klose - 2019 - econstor.eu
This article compares two types of monetary policy rules-the Taylor-Rule and the
Orphanides-Rule-with respect to their forecasting properties for the policy rates of the …