Past abrupt changes, tipping points and cascading impacts in the Earth system

V Brovkin, E Brook, JW Williams, S Bathiany… - Nature …, 2021 - nature.com
The geological record shows that abrupt changes in the Earth system can occur on
timescales short enough to challenge the capacity of human societies to adapt to …

Climate change, ecosystems and abrupt change: science priorities

MG Turner, WJ Calder… - … of the Royal …, 2020 - royalsocietypublishing.org
Ecologists have long studied patterns, directions and tempos of change, but there is a
pressing need to extend current understanding to empirical observations of abrupt changes …

The 4.2 ka event is not remarkable in the context of Holocene climate variability

NP McKay, DS Kaufman, SH Arcusa, HR Kolus… - Nature …, 2024 - nature.com
Abstract The “4.2 ka event” is a commonly described abrupt climate excursion that occurred
about 4200 years ago. However, the extent to which this event is coherent across regional …

The changing role of history in restoration ecology

E Higgs, DA Falk, A Guerrini, M Hall… - Frontiers in Ecology …, 2014 - Wiley Online Library
In the face of rapid environmental and cultural change, orthodox concepts in restoration
ecology such as historical fidelity are being challenged. Here we re‐examine the diverse …

Abrupt change in ecological systems: inference and diagnosis

Z Ratajczak, SR Carpenter, AR Ives… - Trends in Ecology & …, 2018 - cell.com
Abrupt ecological changes are, by definition, those that occur over short periods of time
relative to typical rates of change for a given ecosystem. The potential for such changes is …

An ecological perspective on extreme climatic events: a synthetic definition and framework to guide future research

MD Smith - Journal of Ecology, 2011 - Wiley Online Library
Growing recognition of the importance of climate extremes as drivers of contemporary and
future ecological dynamics has led to increasing interest in studying these locally and …

A unifying framework for studying and managing climate-driven rates of ecological change

JW Williams, A Ordonez, JC Svenning - Nature Ecology & Evolution, 2021 - nature.com
During the Anthropocene and other eras of rapidly changing climates, rates of change of
ecological systems can be described as fast, slow or abrupt. Fast ecological responses …

The ecological role of climate extremes: current understanding and future prospects

MD Smith - Journal of Ecology, 2011 - Wiley Online Library
Climate extremes, such as severe drought, heat waves and periods of heavy rainfall, can
have profound consequences for ecological systems and for human welfare. Global climate …

Analysis of abrupt transitions in ecological systems

BT Bestelmeyer, AM Ellison, WR Fraser… - …, 2011 - Wiley Online Library
The occurrence and causes of abrupt transitions, thresholds, or regime shifts between
ecosystem states are of great concern and the likelihood of such transitions is increasing for …

Contributions of Quaternary botany to modern ecology and biogeography

HJB Birks - Plant Ecology & Diversity, 2019 - Taylor & Francis
ABSTRACT Quaternary (last 2.6 million years) botany involves studying plant megafossils
(eg tree stumps), macrofossils (eg seeds, leaves), and microfossils (eg pollen, spores) …