Local projections for applied economics
Ò Jordà - Annual Review of Economics, 2023 - annualreviews.org
The dynamic causal effect of an intervention on an outcome is of paramount interest to
applied macro-and microeconomics research. However, this question has been generally …
applied macro-and microeconomics research. However, this question has been generally …
The slope of the Phillips Curve: evidence from US states
We estimate the slope of the Phillips curve in the cross section of US states using newly
constructed state-level price indices for nontradeable goods back to 1978. Our estimates …
constructed state-level price indices for nontradeable goods back to 1978. Our estimates …
The unequal economic consequences of carbon pricing
DR Känzig - 2023 - nber.org
This paper studies the economic impacts of carbon pricing. Exploiting institutional features of
the European carbon market and high-frequency data, I document that a tighter carbon …
the European carbon market and high-frequency data, I document that a tighter carbon …
[HTML][HTML] Local projections vs. vars: Lessons from thousands of dgps
D Li, M Plagborg-Møller, CK Wolf - Journal of Econometrics, 2024 - Elsevier
We conduct a simulation study of Local Projection (LP) and Vector Autoregression (VAR)
estimators of structural impulse responses across thousands of data generating processes …
estimators of structural impulse responses across thousands of data generating processes …
Credit allocation and macroeconomic fluctuations
We study the relationship between credit expansions, macroeconomic fluctuations, and
financial crises using a novel database on the sectoral distribution of private credit for 117 …
financial crises using a novel database on the sectoral distribution of private credit for 117 …
The global dollar cycle
M Obstfeld, H Zhou - Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, 2022 - muse.jhu.edu
The US dollar's nominal effective exchange rate closely tracks global financial conditions,
which themselves show a cyclical pattern. Over that cycle, world asset prices, leverage, and …
which themselves show a cyclical pattern. Over that cycle, world asset prices, leverage, and …
Repercussions of the Russia–Ukraine war
E Tong - International Review of Economics & Finance, 2024 - Elsevier
Using the heteroscedasticity-based estimator of Rigobon and Sack (2005) to identify daily
shocks of the Russia–Ukraine war, I assess and quantify the dynamic impact of the conflict …
shocks of the Russia–Ukraine war, I assess and quantify the dynamic impact of the conflict …
[HTML][HTML] The long and variable lags of monetary policy: Evidence from disaggregated price indices
SB Aruoba, T Drechsel - Journal of Monetary Economics, 2024 - Elsevier
We study how monetary policy affects subcomponents of the Personal Consumption
Expenditures Price Index (PCEPI) using local projections. Following a monetary policy …
Expenditures Price Index (PCEPI) using local projections. Following a monetary policy …
Climate Policy and the Economy: Evidence from Europe's Carbon Pricing Initiatives
This paper investigates the impact of carbon pricing on the economy, with a focus on
European carbon taxes and the carbon market. Our analysis reveals three key findings. First …
European carbon taxes and the carbon market. Our analysis reveals three key findings. First …
Bias in local projections
EP Herbst, BK Johannsen - Journal of Econometrics, 2024 - Elsevier
Local projections (LPs) are a popular tool in macroeconomic research. We show that LPs
are often used with very small samples in the time dimension and, consequently, that LP …
are often used with very small samples in the time dimension and, consequently, that LP …