The role of the stratosphere in subseasonal to seasonal prediction: 2. Predictability arising from stratosphere‐troposphere coupling

DIV Domeisen, AH Butler… - Journal of …, 2020 - Wiley Online Library
The stratosphere can have a significant impact on winter surface weather on subseasonal to
seasonal (S2S) timescales. This study evaluates the ability of current operational S2S …

Implementation of UK Earth system models for CMIP6

AA Sellar, J Walton, CG Jones, R Wood… - Journal of Advances …, 2020 - Wiley Online Library
We describe the scientific and technical implementation of two models for a core set of
experiments contributing to the sixth phase of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project …

[HTML][HTML] The 2019 Southern Hemisphere stratospheric polar vortex weakening and its impacts

EP Lim, HH Hendon, AH Butler… - Bulletin of the …, 2021 - journals.ametsoc.org
This study offers an overview of the low-frequency (ie, monthly to seasonal) evolution,
dynamics, predictability, and surface impacts of a rare Southern Hemisphere (SH) …

Evaluating stratospheric ozone and water vapour changes in CMIP6 models from 1850 to 2100

J Keeble, B Hassler, A Banerjee… - Atmospheric …, 2021 - acp.copernicus.org
Stratospheric ozone and water vapour are key components of the Earth system, and past
and future changes to both have important impacts on global and regional climate. Here, we …

[HTML][HTML] Description and evaluation of the UKCA stratosphere–troposphere chemistry scheme (StratTrop vn 1.0) implemented in UKESM1

AT Archibald, FM O'Connor… - Geoscientific Model …, 2020 - gmd.copernicus.org
Here we present a description of the UKCA StratTrop chemical mechanism, which is used in
the UKESM1 Earth system model for CMIP6. The StratTrop chemical mechanism is a merger …

Australian wildfires cause the largest stratospheric warming since Pinatubo and extends the lifetime of the Antarctic ozone hole

L Damany-Pearce, B Johnson, A Wells, M Osborne… - Scientific Reports, 2022 - nature.com
Global mean lower stratosphere temperatures rose abruptly in January 2020 reaching
values not experienced since the early 1990s. Anomalously high lower stratospheric …

Revisiting the mystery of recent stratospheric temperature trends

AC Maycock, WJ Randel, AK Steiner… - Geophysical …, 2018 - Wiley Online Library
Simulated stratospheric temperatures over the period 1979–2016 in models from the
Chemistry‐Climate Model Initiative are compared with recently updated and extended …

Future Arctic ozone recovery: the importance of chemistry and dynamics

EM Bednarz, AC Maycock, NL Abraham… - Atmospheric …, 2016 - acp.copernicus.org
Future trends in Arctic springtime total column ozone, and its chemical and dynamical
drivers, are assessed using a seven-member ensemble from the Met Office Unified Model …

New insights on the impact of ozone‐depleting substances on the Brewer‐Dobson circulation

M Abalos, L Polvani, N Calvo… - Journal of …, 2019 - Wiley Online Library
It has recently been recognized that, in addition to greenhouse gases, anthropogenic
emissions of ozone‐depleting substances (ODS) can induce long‐term trends in the Brewer …

Heliospheric plasma sheet (HPS) impingement onto the magnetosphere as a cause of relativistic electron dropouts (REDs) via coherent EMIC wave scattering with …

BT Tsurutani, R Hajra, T Tanimori… - Journal of …, 2016 - Wiley Online Library
A new scenario is presented for the cause of magnetospheric relativistic electron decreases
(REDs) and potential effects in the atmosphere and on climate. High‐density solar wind …