The shape and term structure of the index option smirk: Why multifactor stochastic volatility models work so well

P Christoffersen, S Heston… - Management Science, 2009 - pubsonline.informs.org
State-of-the-art stochastic volatility models generate a “volatility smirk” that explains why out-
of-the-money index puts have high prices relative to the Black-Scholes benchmark. These …

Realized volatility

TG Andersen, T Teräsvirta - Handbook of financial time series, 2009 - Springer
Realized volatility is a nonparametric ex-post estimate of the return variation. The most
obvious realized volatility measure is the sum of finely-sampled squared return realizations …

A jump diffusion model for VIX volatility options and futures

D Psychoyios, G Dotsis, RN Markellos - Review of Quantitative Finance …, 2010 - Springer
Volatility indices are becoming increasingly popular as a measure of market uncertainty and
as a new asset class for developing derivative instruments. Although jumps are widely …

A multi-horizon comparison of density forecasts for the S&P 500 using index returns and option prices

MB Shackleton, SJ Taylor, P Yu - Journal of Banking & Finance, 2010 - Elsevier
We compare density forecasts of the S&P 500 index from 1991 to 2004, obtained from option
prices and daily and 5-min index returns. Risk-neutral densities are given by using option …

Stochastic volatility

TG Andersen, L Benzoni - CREATES research paper, 2010 - papers.ssrn.com
We give an overview of a broad class of models designed to capture stochastic volatility in
financial markets, with illustrations of the scope of application of these models to practical …

Risk-neutral modeling with affine and nonaffine models

GB Durham - Journal of Financial Econometrics, 2013 - academic.oup.com
Option prices provide a great deal of information regarding the market's expectations of
future asset price dynamics. But, the implied dynamics are under the risk-neutral measure …

Stochastic volatility and jumps: Exponentially affine yes or no? An empirical analysis of S&P500 dynamics

K Ignatieva, P Rodrigues, N Seeger - An Empirical Analysis of …, 2009 - papers.ssrn.com
This paper analyzes exponentially affine and non-affine stochastic volatility models with
jumps in returns and volatility. Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) technique is applied …

A jumping index of jumping stocks? an mcmc analysis of continuous-time models for individual stocks

P Rodrigues, C Schlag - An MCMC Analysis of Continuous-Time …, 2009 - papers.ssrn.com
This paper examines continuous-time models for the price and volatility processes of
individual stocks and the S\&P 100 index via Markov Chain Monte Carlo estimation. We find …

Filtering methods

A Fulop - Handbook of Computational Finance, 2011 - Springer
This chapter surveys filtering methods, where the state of an unobserved dynamic model is
inferred based on noisy observations. In linear and gaussian models, the Kalman Filter is …

Estimation of continuous-time stochastic volatility models

G Dotsis, RN Markellos, TC Mills - Palgrave Handbook of Econometrics …, 2009 - Springer
This chapter reviews some of the key issues involved in estimating continuous-time
stochastic volatility models. Such models have become popular recently because they …