While deterministically predicting the time and location of earthquakes remains impossible,
earthquake forecasting models can provide estimates of the probabilities of earthquakes …

Earthquake fault systems interact over a broad spectrum of spatial and temporal scales and,
in recent years, studies of the regional seismicity in a variety of regions have produced a …

On 6 April 2009, an Mw 6.2 earthquake struck beneath the city of L'Aquila, central Italy. The
shock created significant damage and caused more than 300 deaths in the city and …

Abstract The Epidemic‐Type Aftershock Sequence (ETAS) model is widely used to describe
the occurrence of earthquakes in space and time, but there has been little discussion …

In 2009, the global Collaboratory for the Study of Earthquake Predictability (CSEP) launched
three experiments to forecast the distribution of earthquakes in Italy in the subsequent 5 yrs …

Abstract The Collaboratory for the Study of Earthquake Predictability (CSEP) is an open and
global community whose mission is to accelerate earthquake predictability research through …

Probabilistic seismic hazard analysis (PSHA), as a tool to assess the probability that ground
motion of a given intensity or larger is experienced at a given site and time span, has …

Earthquake forecasting is the ultimate challenge for seismologists, because it condenses the
scientific knowledge about the earthquake occurrence process, and it is an essential …

The epidemic-type aftershock sequence (ETAS) model is the most widely used statistical
model to describe earthquake catalogs. ETAS is an R package for fitting the space-time …

Moderate‐to‐large‐magnitude earthquakes induce considerable short‐to‐medium‐term
increases in seismic hazard, due to the subsequent occurrence of aftershocks. Most studies …