Scenario deduction of Natech accident based on dynamic Bayesian network: A case study of landslide accident in a liquor storage tank area in Guizhou Province …

J Hao, L Liu, Z Long, Y Chu, D Zhang, X Chen… - Journal of Loss …, 2023 - Elsevier
Industrial technical accidents caused by natural disasters are defined as Natech accidents,
such as earthquakes and landslides, which can cause tremendous damage to industrial …

A completeness analysis of the National Seismic Network of Italy

D Schorlemmer, F Mele… - Journal of Geophysical …, 2010 - Wiley Online Library
We present the first detailed study of earthquake detection capabilities of the Italian National
Seismic Network and of the completeness threshold of its earthquake catalog. The network …

Modeling seismicity rate changes during the 1997 Umbria‐Marche sequence (central Italy) through a rate‐and state‐dependent model

F Catalli, M Cocco, R Console… - Journal of Geophysical …, 2008 - Wiley Online Library
We model the spatial and temporal pattern of seismicity during a sequence of moderate‐
magnitude normal faulting earthquakes, which struck in 1997 the Umbria‐Marche sector of …

Source processes for the probabilistic assessment of tsunami hazards

EL Geist, PJ Lynett - Oceanography, 2014 - JSTOR
The importance of tsunami hazard assessment has increased in recent years as a result of
catastrophic consequences from events such as the 2004 Indian Ocean and 2011 Japan …

Global risk of big earthquakes has not recently increased

PM Shearer, PB Stark - Proceedings of the National …, 2012 - National Acad Sciences
The recent elevated rate of large earthquakes has fueled concern that the underlying global
rate of earthquake activity has increased, which would have important implications for …

Sensitivity study of forecasted aftershock seismicity based on Coulomb stress calculation and rate‐and state‐dependent frictional response

M Cocco, S Hainzl, F Catalli, B Enescu… - Journal of …, 2010 - Wiley Online Library
We use the Dieterich (1994) physics‐based approach to simulate the spatiotemporal
evolution of seismicity caused by stress changes applied to an infinite population of …

On the increase of background seismicity rate during the 1997–1998 Umbria-Marche, Central Italy, sequence: apparent variation or fluid-driven triggering?

AM Lombardi, M Cocco… - Bulletin of the …, 2010 - pubs.geoscienceworld.org
We investigate the temporal evolution of background seismicity rate in the Umbria-Marche
sector of the northern Apennines that was struck by the 1997–1998 Colfiorito seismic …

Statistical distributions of earthquake numbers: consequence of branching process

YY Kagan - Geophysical Journal International, 2010 - academic.oup.com
We discuss various statistical distributions of earthquake numbers. Previously, we derived
several discrete distributions to describe earthquake numbers for the branching model of …

Accounting for the variability of earthquake rates within low‐seismicity regions: Application to the 2022 Aotearoa New Zealand National Seismic Hazard Model

P Iturrieta, MC Gerstenberger… - Bulletin of the …, 2024 - pubs.geoscienceworld.org
The distribution of earthquakes in time and space is seldom stationary, which could hinder a
robust statistical analysis, particularly in low‐seismicity regions with limited data. This work …

[图书][B] Earthquakes: models, statistics, testable forecasts

YY Kagan - 2013 - books.google.com
This book is the first comprehensive and methodologically rigorous analysis of earthquake
occurrence. Models based on the theory of the stochastic multidimensional point processes …