[HTML][HTML] Statistical physics approaches to the complex Earth system
Global warming, extreme climate events, earthquakes and their accompanying
socioeconomic disasters pose significant risks to humanity. Yet due to the nonlinear …
socioeconomic disasters pose significant risks to humanity. Yet due to the nonlinear …
Coevolution spreading in complex networks
The propagations of diseases, behaviors and information in real systems are rarely
independent of each other, but they are coevolving with strong interactions. To uncover the …
independent of each other, but they are coevolving with strong interactions. To uncover the …
[HTML][HTML] Network resilience
Many systems on our planet shift abruptly and irreversibly from the desired state to an
undesired state when forced across a “tipping point”. Some examples are mass extinctions …
undesired state when forced across a “tipping point”. Some examples are mass extinctions …
Autoreservoir computing for multistep ahead prediction based on the spatiotemporal information transformation
We develop an auto-reservoir computing framework, Auto-Reservoir Neural Network
(ARNN), to efficiently and accurately make multi-step-ahead predictions based on a short …
(ARNN), to efficiently and accurately make multi-step-ahead predictions based on a short …
Tipping positive change
TM Lenton - … Transactions of the Royal Society B, 2020 - royalsocietypublishing.org
Tipping points exist in social, ecological and climate systems and those systems are
increasingly causally intertwined in the Anthropocene. Climate change and biosphere …
increasingly causally intertwined in the Anthropocene. Climate change and biosphere …
Understanding rural–urban transitions in the Global South through peri-urban turbulence
Much previous research has problematized the use of a binary urban–rural distinction to
describe human settlement patterns in and around cities. Peri-urban zones, on the edge of …
describe human settlement patterns in and around cities. Peri-urban zones, on the edge of …
Predicting social tipping and norm change in controlled experiments
J Andreoni, N Nikiforakis… - Proceedings of the …, 2021 - National Acad Sciences
The ability to predict when societies will replace one social norm for another can have
significant implications for welfare, especially when norms are detrimental. A popular theory …
significant implications for welfare, especially when norms are detrimental. A popular theory …
Understanding extinction debts: spatio–temporal scales, mechanisms and a roadmap for future research
L Figueiredo, J Krauss, I Steffan‐Dewenter… - …, 2019 - Wiley Online Library
Extinction debt refers to delayed species extinctions expected as a consequence of
ecosystem perturbation. Quantifying such extinctions and investigating long‐term …
ecosystem perturbation. Quantifying such extinctions and investigating long‐term …
The low-rank hypothesis of complex systems
Complex systems are high-dimensional nonlinear dynamical systems with heterogeneous
interactions among their constituents. To make interpretable predictions about their large …
interactions among their constituents. To make interpretable predictions about their large …
[HTML][HTML] Deciphering the biodiversity–production mutualism in the global food security debate
Without changes in consumption, along with sharp reductions in food waste and postharvest
losses, agricultural production must grow to meet future food demands. The variety of …
losses, agricultural production must grow to meet future food demands. The variety of …