Forecasting has always been at the forefront of decision making and planning. The
uncertainty that surrounds the future is both exciting and challenging, with individuals and …

Why do people come to reject climate science or the safety and efficacy of vaccines, in
defiance of the scientific consensus? A popular view explains bad beliefs like these as …

Recently, there has been an increased interest in demographically grounded bias in natural
language processing (NLP) applications. Much of the recent work has focused on describing …

Overconfidence heuristic-driven bias in investment decision-making and performance:
mediating effects of risk perception and moderating effects of financial literacy | Emerald Insight …

Fallacies about the nature of biases have shadowed a proper cognitive understanding of
biases and their sources, which in turn lead to ways that minimize their impact. Six such …

Much economic advice is bogus quantification, warn two leading experts in this essential
book, now with a preface on COVID-19. Invented numbers offer a false sense of security; we …

One of The Economist's Best Books of 2023 The secrets to successfully planning and
delivering ambitious, complex projects on any scale—from home renovation to space …

Building on pragmatism, we advance an entrepreneur-as-scientist perspective and depict
entrepreneurs as engaging in causally inferential action by forming beliefs, testing these …

Antifragile is a standalone book in Nassim Nicholas Taleb's landmark Incerto series, an
investigation of opacity, luck, uncertainty, probability, human error, risk, and decision-making …

Medical sciences have long since established an ethics code for experiments, to minimize
the risk of harm to subjects. Natural language processing (NLP) used to involve mostly …