How external debt led to economic growth in South Asia: A policy perspective analysis from quantile regression
The study analyzes the relationship between external debt and economic growth in the
South Asian region. The panel ordinary least square (OLS), fixed effect, Quantile regression …
South Asian region. The panel ordinary least square (OLS), fixed effect, Quantile regression …
In sickness and in debt: The COVID-19 impact on sovereign credit risk
The COVID-19 pandemic provides a unique setting in which to evaluate the importance of a
country's fiscal capacity in explaining the relation between economic growth shocks and …
country's fiscal capacity in explaining the relation between economic growth shocks and …
Fiscal policies and asset prices
The surge in public debt triggered by the financial crisis has raised uncertainty about future
tax pressure and economic activity. We examine the asset pricing effects of fiscal policies in …
tax pressure and economic activity. We examine the asset pricing effects of fiscal policies in …
The market price of fiscal uncertainty
Recent fiscal interventions have raised concerns about US public debt, future distortionary
tax pressure, and long-run growth potential. We explore the long-run implications of public …
tax pressure, and long-run growth potential. We explore the long-run implications of public …
A macrofinance view of US sovereign CDS premiums
Premiums on US sovereign credit default swaps (CDS) have risen to persistently elevated
levels since the financial crisis. We examine whether these premiums reflect the probability …
levels since the financial crisis. We examine whether these premiums reflect the probability …
What Drives Variation in the US Debt‐to‐Output Ratio? The Dogs that Did not Bark
ABSTRACT A higher US government debt‐to‐output (D‐O) ratio does not forecast higher
surpluses or lower returns on Treasurys in the future. Neither future cash flows nor discount …
surpluses or lower returns on Treasurys in the future. Neither future cash flows nor discount …
[HTML][HTML] Optimal tax policy and endogenous growth through innovation
T Gross, P Klein - Journal of Public Economics, 2022 - Elsevier
We investigate optimal tax policy in a Romer-style endogenous growth model. We derive
formulas for the optimal tax rates on capital, labour, and innovation on a balanced growth …
formulas for the optimal tax rates on capital, labour, and innovation on a balanced growth …
Fiscal cyclicality and currency risk premia
Z Jiang - The Review of Financial Studies, 2022 - academic.oup.com
I develop a model of real exchange rate determination that attributes a central role to the
intertemporal government budget condition, which equates the market value of government …
intertemporal government budget condition, which equates the market value of government …
Bond convenience yields in the eurozone currency union
In a monetary union, the risk-free rate cannot respond to country-level fiscal positions,
leaving only default spreads and convenience yields to respond. Empirically, we find that …
leaving only default spreads and convenience yields to respond. Empirically, we find that …