How external debt led to economic growth in South Asia: A policy perspective analysis from quantile regression

M Mohsin, H Ullah, N Iqbal, W Iqbal… - Economic Analysis and …, 2021 - Elsevier
The study analyzes the relationship between external debt and economic growth in the
South Asian region. The panel ordinary least square (OLS), fixed effect, Quantile regression …

In sickness and in debt: The COVID-19 impact on sovereign credit risk

P Augustin, V Sokolovski, MG Subrahmanyam… - Journal of Financial …, 2022 - Elsevier
The COVID-19 pandemic provides a unique setting in which to evaluate the importance of a
country's fiscal capacity in explaining the relation between economic growth shocks and …

Innovation, growth, and asset prices

H Kung, L Schmid - The Journal of Finance, 2015 - Wiley Online Library
We examine the asset pricing implications of a production economy whose long‐term
growth prospects are endogenously determined by innovation and R&D. In equilibrium …

Fiscal policies and asset prices

MM Croce, H Kung, TT Nguyen… - The Review of Financial …, 2012 - academic.oup.com
The surge in public debt triggered by the financial crisis has raised uncertainty about future
tax pressure and economic activity. We examine the asset pricing effects of fiscal policies in …

The market price of fiscal uncertainty

MM Croce, TT Nguyen, L Schmid - Journal of Monetary Economics, 2012 - Elsevier
Recent fiscal interventions have raised concerns about US public debt, future distortionary
tax pressure, and long-run growth potential. We explore the long-run implications of public …

A macrofinance view of US sovereign CDS premiums

M Chernov, L Schmid, A Schneider - The Journal of Finance, 2020 - Wiley Online Library
Premiums on US sovereign credit default swaps (CDS) have risen to persistently elevated
levels since the financial crisis. We examine whether these premiums reflect the probability …

What Drives Variation in the US Debt‐to‐Output Ratio? The Dogs that Did not Bark

Z Jiang, H Lustig, S Van Nieuwerburgh… - The Journal of …, 2024 - Wiley Online Library
ABSTRACT A higher US government debt‐to‐output (D‐O) ratio does not forecast higher
surpluses or lower returns on Treasurys in the future. Neither future cash flows nor discount …

[HTML][HTML] Optimal tax policy and endogenous growth through innovation

T Gross, P Klein - Journal of Public Economics, 2022 - Elsevier
We investigate optimal tax policy in a Romer-style endogenous growth model. We derive
formulas for the optimal tax rates on capital, labour, and innovation on a balanced growth …

Fiscal cyclicality and currency risk premia

Z Jiang - The Review of Financial Studies, 2022 - academic.oup.com
I develop a model of real exchange rate determination that attributes a central role to the
intertemporal government budget condition, which equates the market value of government …

Bond convenience yields in the eurozone currency union

Z Jiang, HN Lustig, S Van Nieuwerburgh… - Columbia Business …, 2020 - papers.ssrn.com
In a monetary union, the risk-free rate cannot respond to country-level fiscal positions,
leaving only default spreads and convenience yields to respond. Empirically, we find that …