Sudden stratospheric warmings

MP Baldwin, B Ayarzagüena, T Birner… - Reviews of …, 2021 - Wiley Online Library
Sudden stratospheric warmings (SSWs) are impressive fluid dynamical events in which
large and rapid temperature increases in the winter polar stratosphere (∼ 10–50 km) are …

The remarkably strong Arctic stratospheric polar vortex of winter 2020: Links to record‐breaking Arctic oscillation and ozone loss

ZD Lawrence, J Perlwitz, AH Butler… - Journal of …, 2020 - Wiley Online Library
Abstract The Northern Hemisphere (NH) polar winter stratosphere of 2019/2020 featured an
exceptionally strong and cold stratospheric polar vortex. Wave activity from the troposphere …

The role of the stratosphere in subseasonal to seasonal prediction: 2. Predictability arising from stratosphere‐troposphere coupling

DIV Domeisen, AH Butler… - Journal of …, 2020 - Wiley Online Library
The stratosphere can have a significant impact on winter surface weather on subseasonal to
seasonal (S2S) timescales. This study evaluates the ability of current operational S2S …

The Southern Hemisphere minor sudden stratospheric warming in September 2019 and its predictions in S2S models

J Rao, CI Garfinkel, IP White… - Journal of Geophysical …, 2020 - Wiley Online Library
A minor sudden stratospheric warming (SSW) happened in September 2019 in the Southern
Hemisphere (SH) with winds at 10 hPa, 60° S reaching their minimum value on 18 …

Predicting the downward and surface influence of the February 2018 and January 2019 sudden stratospheric warming events in subseasonal to seasonal (S2S) …

J Rao, CI Garfinkel, IP White - Journal of Geophysical …, 2020 - Wiley Online Library
Using the real‐time predictions from 11 models, this study analyzes the prediction of the
downward propagation and surface impact of the 2018 and 2019 sudden stratospheric …

[HTML][HTML] The role of North Atlantic–European weather regimes in the surface impact of sudden stratospheric warming events

DIV Domeisen, CM Grams… - Weather and Climate …, 2020 - wcd.copernicus.org
Sudden stratospheric warming (SSW) events can significantly impact tropospheric weather
for a period of several weeks, in particular in the North Atlantic–European (NAE) region …

Estimating the frequency of sudden stratospheric warming events from surface observations of the North Atlantic Oscillation

DIV Domeisen - Journal of Geophysical Research …, 2019 - Wiley Online Library
Sudden stratospheric warming (SSW) events can exhibit long‐lasting surface impacts that
promise improvements in medium‐range to seasonal predictability. Their surface impact is …

Tropospheric forcing of the 2019 Antarctic sudden stratospheric warming

X Shen, L Wang, S Osprey - Geophysical Research Letters, 2020 - Wiley Online Library
The strongest and most persistent upward propagation of zonal wavenumber 1 (WN1)
Rossby waves from the troposphere on record led to the rare Antarctic sudden stratospheric …

The January 2021 sudden stratospheric warming and its prediction in subseasonal to seasonal models

J Rao, CI Garfinkel, T Wu, Y Lu, Q Lu… - Journal of Geophysical …, 2021 - Wiley Online Library
Using reanalysis, observations, and subseasonal to seasonal (S2S) forecasts, the most
recent sudden stratospheric warming (SSW) in January 2021 and its predictability are …

CMIP5/6 models project little change in the statistical characteristics of sudden stratospheric warmings in the 21st century

J Rao, CI Garfinkel - Environmental Research Letters, 2021 - iopscience.iop.org
Using state-of-the-art models from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phases 5
and 6 (CMIP5/6), future changes of sudden stratospheric warming (SSW) events under a …