[HTML][HTML] Advances in the application and utility of subseasonal-to-seasonal predictions

CJ White, DIV Domeisen, N Acharya… - Bulletin of the …, 2022 - journals.ametsoc.org
The subseasonal-to-seasonal (S2S) predictive time scale, encompassing lead times ranging
from 2 weeks to a season, is at the frontier of forecasting science. Forecasts on this time …

Progress and prospects of research on subseasonal to seasonal variability and prediction of the East Asian monsoon

C Zhu, B Liu, L Li, S Ma, N Jiang, Y Yan - Journal of Meteorological …, 2022 - Springer
Subseasonal to seasonal (S2S) variability represents the atmospheric disturbance on the 10–
90-day timescale, which is an important bridge linking weather and climate. In 2015, China …

Quantifying causal pathways of teleconnections

M Kretschmer, SV Adams, A Arribas… - Bulletin of the …, 2021 - journals.ametsoc.org
Teleconnections are sources of predictability for regional weather and climate, but the
relative contributions of different teleconnections to regional anomalies are usually not …

Subseasonal predictability of the north Atlantic oscillation

JR Albers, M Newman - Environmental Research Letters, 2021 - iopscience.iop.org
Abstract Skillfully predicting the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO), and the closely related
northern annular mode (NAM), on'subseasonal'(weeks to less than a season) timescales is …

Adaptive bias correction for improved subseasonal forecasting

S Mouatadid, P Orenstein, G Flaspohler… - Nature …, 2023 - nature.com
Subseasonal forecasting—predicting temperature and precipitation 2 to 6 weeks ahead—is
critical for effective water allocation, wildfire management, and drought and flood mitigation …

An intraseasonal mode linking wintertime surface air temperature over Arctic and Eurasian continent

J Xiu, X Jiang, R Zhang, W Guan, G Chen - Journal of Climate, 2022 - journals.ametsoc.org
Key processes associated with the leading intraseasonal variability mode of wintertime
surface air temperature (SAT) over Eurasia and the Arctic region are investigated in this …

Subseasonal swing of cold and warm extremes between Eurasia and North America in winter of 2020/21: initiation and physical process

S Ma, C Zhu - Environmental Research Letters, 2023 - iopscience.iop.org
Abstract Eurasia and North America experienced a robust subseasonal swing of surface air
temperature (SAT) extremes in 2020/21 winter, featuring severe cold (warm) extremes over …

Linear interference between effects of ENSO and QBO on the northern winter stratospheric polar vortex

H Wang, J Rao, D Guo, Y Lu, Y Liu - Climate Dynamics, 2024 - Springer
Abstract The El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and Quasi-Biennial Oscillation (QBO)
have an individual impact on the northern winter stratospheric polar vortex. This study …

The February 2021 cold air outbreak in the United States: A subseasonal forecast of opportunity

JR Albers, M Newman, A Hoell… - Bulletin of the …, 2022 - journals.ametsoc.org
The sources of predictability for the February 2021 cold air outbreak (CAO) over the central
United States, which led to power grid failures and water delivery shortages in Texas, are …

Are multiseasonal forecasts of atmospheric rivers possible?

KC Tseng, NC Johnson, SB Kapnick… - Geophysical …, 2021 - Wiley Online Library
Atmospheric rivers (ARs) exert significant socioeconomic impacts in western North America,
where 30 of the annual precipitation is determined by ARs that occur in less than 15 of …