Overrepresentation of extreme events in decision making reflects rational use of cognitive resources.
People's decisions and judgments are disproportionately swayed by improbable but
extreme eventualities, such as terrorism, that come to mind easily. This article explores …
extreme eventualities, such as terrorism, that come to mind easily. This article explores …
Stochastic choice and preferences for randomization
M Agranov, P Ortoleva - Journal of Political Economy, 2017 - journals.uchicago.edu
We conduct an experiment in which subjects face the same questions repeated multiple
times, with repetitions of two types:(1) following the literature, the repetitions are distant from …
times, with repetitions of two types:(1) following the literature, the repetitions are distant from …
The predictive utility of generalized expected utility theories
DW Harless, CF Camerer - Econometrica: Journal of the Econometric …, 1994 - JSTOR
Many alternative theories have been proposed to explain violations of expected utility (EU)
theory observed in experiments. Several recent studies test some of these alternative …
theory observed in experiments. Several recent studies test some of these alternative …
Cumulative prospect theory's functional menagerie
HP Stott - Journal of Risk and uncertainty, 2006 - Springer
Many different functional forms have been suggested for both the value function and
probability weighting function of Cumulative Prospect Theory (Tversky and Kahneman …
probability weighting function of Cumulative Prospect Theory (Tversky and Kahneman …
Does the random-lottery incentive system elicit true preferences? An experimental investigation
A recurrent problem in experimental eco-nomics is that of ensuring that subjects have an
incentive to give considered and truthful responses. One common experimental design is to …
incentive to give considered and truthful responses. One common experimental design is to …
Risk aversion relates to cognitive ability: Preferences or noise?
Recent experimental studies suggest that risk aversion is negatively related to cognitive
ability. In this paper we report evidence that this relation may be spurious. We recruit a large …
ability. In this paper we report evidence that this relation may be spurious. We recruit a large …
On the validity of the random lottery incentive system
The random lottery incentive system is widely used in experimental economics to motivate
subjects. This paper investigates its validity. It reports three experiments which compare …
subjects. This paper investigates its validity. It reports three experiments which compare …
Incorporating a stochastic element into decision theories
Recent papers by Harless and Camerer (1994) and Hey and Orme (1994) have employed
two rather different models of errors in decision making under uncertainty. The present …
two rather different models of errors in decision making under uncertainty. The present …
[HTML][HTML] Third-generation prospect theory
We present a new theory of decision under uncertainty: third-generation prospect theory (PT
3). This retains the predictive power of previous versions of prospect theory, but extends that …
3). This retains the predictive power of previous versions of prospect theory, but extends that …
Stochastic models for binary discrete choice under risk: A critical primer and econometric comparison
NT Wilcox - Risk aversion in experiments, 2008 - emerald.com
Choice under risk has a large stochastic (unpredictable) component. This chapter examines
five stochastic models for binary discrete choice under risk and how they combine with …
five stochastic models for binary discrete choice under risk and how they combine with …