In this paper we present and evaluate the skill of the EC-Earth3. 3 decadal prediction system
contributing to the Decadal Climate Prediction Project-Component A (DCPP-A). This …

Abstract Subseasonal-to-seasonal (S2S) prediction, especially the prediction of extreme
hydroclimate events such as droughts and floods, is not only scientifically challenging, but …

The stratosphere can be a source of predictability for surface weather on timescales of
several weeks to months. However, the potential predictive skill gained from stratospheric …

The potential for multiyear prediction of impactful Earth system change remains relatively
underexplored compared to shorter (subseasonal to seasonal) and longer (decadal) …

The Canadian Earth System Model version 5 (CanESM5) developed at Environment and
Climate Change Canada's Canadian Centre for Climate Modelling and Analysis (CCCma) is …

Heavy precipitation can lead to floods and landslides, resulting in widespread damage and
significant casualties. Some of its impacts can be mitigated if reliable forecasts and warnings …

Seasonal variability of the global hydrologic cycle directly impacts human activities,
including hazard assessment and mitigation, agricultural decisions, and water resources …

Despite the wealth of existing climate forecast data, only a small part is effectively exploited
for sectoral applications. A major cause of this is the lack of integrated tools that allow the …

State-of-the art climate prediction systems have recently included a carbon component.
While physical-state variables are assimilated in reconstruction simulations, land and ocean …

Droughts and heatwaves are among the most impactful climate extremes. Their co-
occurrence can have adverse consequences on natural and human systems. Early …