Energy system optimization models (ESOMs) are widely used to generate insight that
informs energy and environmental policy. Using ESOMs to produce policy-relevant insight …

The physical climate storyline (PCS) approach is increasingly recognized by the physical
climate research community as a tool to produce and communicate decision‐relevant …

A highly uncertain future due to changes in climate, technology and socio-economics has
led to the realisation that identification of “best-guess” future conditions might no longer be …

This paper analyses sustainability transitions in the electricity system, using recent theories
on socio-technical pathways. The paper describes three possible transition pathways and …

Scenarios provide a commonly used and intuitively appealing means to communicate and
characterize uncertainty in many decision support applications, but can fall short of their …

This paper reviews the latest research on scenarios including the processes and products
for socio-environmental systems (SES) analysis, modeling and decision making. A group of …

Scenarios play a prominent role in policy debates over climate change, but questions
continue about how best to use them. We describe a new analytic method, based on robust …

Scenario planning has formed a growing area of interest on the interface of academia and
public and private sector policy-making. While methodological approaches are well covered …

Identifying and assessing the potential impact and likelihood of future events, which might
evolve into risks, are a prerequisite to identify future security challenges. In particular, risks …

A major challenge in planning for adaptation to climate change is to assess future
development not only in relation to climate but also in relation to social, economic and …