Smooth transition autoregressive models—a survey of recent developments

D Dijk, T Teräsvirta, PH Franses - Econometric reviews, 2002 - Taylor & Francis
This paper surveys recent developments related to the smooth transition autoregressive
(STAR) time series model and several of its variants. We put emphasis on new methods for …

Economic forecasting: Some lessons from recent research

DF Hendry, MP Clements - Economic Modelling, 2003 - Elsevier
This paper describes some recent advances and contributions to our understanding of
economic forecasting. The framework we develop helps explain the findings of forecasting …

Forecasting volatility with support vector machine‐based GARCH model

S Chen, WK Härdle, K Jeong - Journal of Forecasting, 2010 - Wiley Online Library
Recently, support vector machine (SVM), a novel artificial neural network (ANN), has been
successfully used for financial forecasting. This paper deals with the application of SVM in …

Unemployment hysteresis and structural change in Europe

K Akdoğan - Empirical Economics, 2017 - Springer
We examine the unemployment hysteresis hypothesis for 31 European countries, the USA
and Japan, using alternative linear and nonlinear unit root tests, taking into account possible …

Macroeconomic forecasting during the Great Recession: The return of non-linearity?

L Ferrara, M Marcellino, M Mogliani - International Journal of Forecasting, 2015 - Elsevier
The debate on the forecasting ability of non-linear models has a long history, and the Great
Recession episode provides an interesting opportunity for a re-assessment of the …

The performance of non‐linear exchange rate models: a forecasting comparison

G Boero, E Marrocu - Journal of Forecasting, 2002 - Wiley Online Library
In recent years there has been a considerable development in modelling non‐linearities and
asymmetries in economic and financial variables. The aim of the current paper is to compare …

Do Euro exchange rates follow a martingale? Some out-of-sample evidence

J Yang, X Su, JW Kolari - Journal of Banking & Finance, 2008 - Elsevier
Traditional autocorrelation and variance ratio tests are based on serial uncorrelatedness
rather than martingale difference. As such, they do not capture potential nonlinearity-in …

Selecting a nonlinear time series model using weighted tests of equal forecast accuracy

D Van Dijk, PH Franses - Oxford Bulletin of Economics and …, 2003 - Wiley Online Library
Nonlinear time series models have become fashionable tools to describe and forecast a
variety of economic time series. A closer look at reported empirical studies, however, reveals …

Should deep learning models be in high demand, or should they simply be a very hot topic? A comprehensive study for exchange rate forecasting

FM Yilmaz, O Arabaci - Computational Economics, 2021 - Springer
Exchange rate movements can significantly impact not only foreign trade, capital flows, and
asset portfolio management, but also real economic activity. Therefore, the forecast of …

Predicting stock market price of Bangladesh: a comparative study of linear classification models

M Karimuzzaman, N Islam, S Afroz, MM Hossain - Annals of Data Science, 2021 - Springer
Stock price prediction is a popular research domain for its complex data structure and
confounding factors. The use of Data science tools enormously increased along with the …