Smooth transition autoregressive models—a survey of recent developments
This paper surveys recent developments related to the smooth transition autoregressive
(STAR) time series model and several of its variants. We put emphasis on new methods for …
(STAR) time series model and several of its variants. We put emphasis on new methods for …
Economic forecasting: Some lessons from recent research
DF Hendry, MP Clements - Economic Modelling, 2003 - Elsevier
This paper describes some recent advances and contributions to our understanding of
economic forecasting. The framework we develop helps explain the findings of forecasting …
economic forecasting. The framework we develop helps explain the findings of forecasting …
Forecasting volatility with support vector machine‐based GARCH model
Recently, support vector machine (SVM), a novel artificial neural network (ANN), has been
successfully used for financial forecasting. This paper deals with the application of SVM in …
successfully used for financial forecasting. This paper deals with the application of SVM in …
Unemployment hysteresis and structural change in Europe
K Akdoğan - Empirical Economics, 2017 - Springer
We examine the unemployment hysteresis hypothesis for 31 European countries, the USA
and Japan, using alternative linear and nonlinear unit root tests, taking into account possible …
and Japan, using alternative linear and nonlinear unit root tests, taking into account possible …
Macroeconomic forecasting during the Great Recession: The return of non-linearity?
L Ferrara, M Marcellino, M Mogliani - International Journal of Forecasting, 2015 - Elsevier
The debate on the forecasting ability of non-linear models has a long history, and the Great
Recession episode provides an interesting opportunity for a re-assessment of the …
Recession episode provides an interesting opportunity for a re-assessment of the …
The performance of non‐linear exchange rate models: a forecasting comparison
In recent years there has been a considerable development in modelling non‐linearities and
asymmetries in economic and financial variables. The aim of the current paper is to compare …
asymmetries in economic and financial variables. The aim of the current paper is to compare …
Do Euro exchange rates follow a martingale? Some out-of-sample evidence
Traditional autocorrelation and variance ratio tests are based on serial uncorrelatedness
rather than martingale difference. As such, they do not capture potential nonlinearity-in …
rather than martingale difference. As such, they do not capture potential nonlinearity-in …
Selecting a nonlinear time series model using weighted tests of equal forecast accuracy
D Van Dijk, PH Franses - Oxford Bulletin of Economics and …, 2003 - Wiley Online Library
Nonlinear time series models have become fashionable tools to describe and forecast a
variety of economic time series. A closer look at reported empirical studies, however, reveals …
variety of economic time series. A closer look at reported empirical studies, however, reveals …
Should deep learning models be in high demand, or should they simply be a very hot topic? A comprehensive study for exchange rate forecasting
Exchange rate movements can significantly impact not only foreign trade, capital flows, and
asset portfolio management, but also real economic activity. Therefore, the forecast of …
asset portfolio management, but also real economic activity. Therefore, the forecast of …
Predicting stock market price of Bangladesh: a comparative study of linear classification models
Stock price prediction is a popular research domain for its complex data structure and
confounding factors. The use of Data science tools enormously increased along with the …
confounding factors. The use of Data science tools enormously increased along with the …