Atmospheric dispersion modelling at the London VAAC: A review of developments since the 2010 Eyjafjallajökull volcano ash cloud

FM Beckett, CS Witham, SJ Leadbetter, R Crocker… - Atmosphere, 2020 - mdpi.com
It has been 10 years since the ash cloud from the eruption of Eyjafjallajökull caused
unprecedented disruption to air traffic across Europe. During this event, the London Volcanic …

Epistemic uncertainties and natural hazard risk assessment–Part 1: A review of different natural hazard areas

KJ Beven, S Almeida, WP Aspinall… - … Hazards and Earth …, 2018 - nhess.copernicus.org
This paper discusses how epistemic uncertainties are currently considered in the most
widely occurring natural hazard areas, including floods, landslides and debris flows, dam …

[HTML][HTML] The 2019 Raikoke volcanic eruption–Part 1: Dispersion model simulations and satellite retrievals of volcanic sulfur dioxide

J de Leeuw, A Schmidt, CS Witham… - Atmospheric …, 2021 - acp.copernicus.org
Volcanic eruptions can cause significant disruption to society, and numerical models are
crucial for forecasting the dispersion of erupted material. Here we assess the skill and …

[HTML][HTML] Uncertainty-bounded estimates of ash cloud properties using the ORAC algorithm: application to the 2019 Raikoke eruption

AT Prata, RG Grainger, IA Taylor… - Atmospheric …, 2022 - amt.copernicus.org
Uncertainty-bounded satellite retrievals of volcanic ash cloud properties such as ash cloud-
top height, effective radius, optical depth and mass loading are needed for the robust …

Evaluating the relationship between climate change and volcanism

CL Cooper, GT Swindles, IP Savov, A Schmidt… - Earth-Science …, 2018 - Elsevier
Developing a comprehensive understanding of the interactions between the atmosphere
and the geosphere is an ever-more pertinent issue as global average temperatures continue …

FALL3D-8.0: a computational model for atmospheric transport and deposition of particles, aerosols and radionuclides–Part 2: Model validation

AT Prata, L Mingari, A Folch… - Geoscientific Model …, 2021 - gmd.copernicus.org
This paper presents model validation results for the latest version release of the FALL3D
atmospheric transport model. The code has been redesigned from scratch to incorporate …

Data assimilation of volcanic aerosol observations using FALL3D+ PDAF

L Mingari, A Folch, AT Prata, F Pardini… - Atmospheric …, 2022 - acp.copernicus.org
Modelling atmospheric dispersal of volcanic ash and aerosols is becoming increasingly
valuable for assessing the potential impacts of explosive volcanic eruptions on buildings, air …

Conducting volcanic ash cloud exercises: practising forecast evaluation procedures and the pull-through of scientific advice to the London VAAC

F Beckett, S Barsotti, R Burton, F Dioguardi… - Bulletin of …, 2024 - Springer
Abstract The London Volcanic Ash Advisory Centre (VAAC) provides forecasts on the
expected presence of volcanic ash in the atmosphere to mitigate the risk to aviation. It is …

Improving volcanic ash predictions with the HYSPLIT dispersion model by assimilating MODIS satellite retrievals

T Chai, A Crawford, B Stunder… - Atmospheric …, 2017 - acp.copernicus.org
Currently, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) National Weather
Service (NWS) runs the HYSPLIT dispersion model with a unit mass release rate to predict …

Ensemble-based data assimilation of volcanic ash clouds from satellite observations: application to the 24 December 2018 Mt. Etna explosive eruption

F Pardini, S Corradini, A Costa, T Esposti Ongaro… - Atmosphere, 2020 - mdpi.com
Accurate tracking and forecasting of ash dispersal in the atmosphere and quantification of its
uncertainty are of fundamental importance for volcanic risk mitigation. Numerical models …