Atmospheric dispersion modelling at the London VAAC: A review of developments since the 2010 Eyjafjallajökull volcano ash cloud
FM Beckett, CS Witham, SJ Leadbetter, R Crocker… - Atmosphere, 2020 - mdpi.com
It has been 10 years since the ash cloud from the eruption of Eyjafjallajökull caused
unprecedented disruption to air traffic across Europe. During this event, the London Volcanic …
unprecedented disruption to air traffic across Europe. During this event, the London Volcanic …
Epistemic uncertainties and natural hazard risk assessment–Part 1: A review of different natural hazard areas
KJ Beven, S Almeida, WP Aspinall… - … Hazards and Earth …, 2018 - nhess.copernicus.org
This paper discusses how epistemic uncertainties are currently considered in the most
widely occurring natural hazard areas, including floods, landslides and debris flows, dam …
widely occurring natural hazard areas, including floods, landslides and debris flows, dam …
[HTML][HTML] The 2019 Raikoke volcanic eruption–Part 1: Dispersion model simulations and satellite retrievals of volcanic sulfur dioxide
J de Leeuw, A Schmidt, CS Witham… - Atmospheric …, 2021 - acp.copernicus.org
Volcanic eruptions can cause significant disruption to society, and numerical models are
crucial for forecasting the dispersion of erupted material. Here we assess the skill and …
crucial for forecasting the dispersion of erupted material. Here we assess the skill and …
[HTML][HTML] Uncertainty-bounded estimates of ash cloud properties using the ORAC algorithm: application to the 2019 Raikoke eruption
AT Prata, RG Grainger, IA Taylor… - Atmospheric …, 2022 - amt.copernicus.org
Uncertainty-bounded satellite retrievals of volcanic ash cloud properties such as ash cloud-
top height, effective radius, optical depth and mass loading are needed for the robust …
top height, effective radius, optical depth and mass loading are needed for the robust …
Evaluating the relationship between climate change and volcanism
Developing a comprehensive understanding of the interactions between the atmosphere
and the geosphere is an ever-more pertinent issue as global average temperatures continue …
and the geosphere is an ever-more pertinent issue as global average temperatures continue …
FALL3D-8.0: a computational model for atmospheric transport and deposition of particles, aerosols and radionuclides–Part 2: Model validation
This paper presents model validation results for the latest version release of the FALL3D
atmospheric transport model. The code has been redesigned from scratch to incorporate …
atmospheric transport model. The code has been redesigned from scratch to incorporate …
Data assimilation of volcanic aerosol observations using FALL3D+ PDAF
Modelling atmospheric dispersal of volcanic ash and aerosols is becoming increasingly
valuable for assessing the potential impacts of explosive volcanic eruptions on buildings, air …
valuable for assessing the potential impacts of explosive volcanic eruptions on buildings, air …
Conducting volcanic ash cloud exercises: practising forecast evaluation procedures and the pull-through of scientific advice to the London VAAC
F Beckett, S Barsotti, R Burton, F Dioguardi… - Bulletin of …, 2024 - Springer
Abstract The London Volcanic Ash Advisory Centre (VAAC) provides forecasts on the
expected presence of volcanic ash in the atmosphere to mitigate the risk to aviation. It is …
expected presence of volcanic ash in the atmosphere to mitigate the risk to aviation. It is …
Improving volcanic ash predictions with the HYSPLIT dispersion model by assimilating MODIS satellite retrievals
T Chai, A Crawford, B Stunder… - Atmospheric …, 2017 - acp.copernicus.org
Currently, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) National Weather
Service (NWS) runs the HYSPLIT dispersion model with a unit mass release rate to predict …
Service (NWS) runs the HYSPLIT dispersion model with a unit mass release rate to predict …
Ensemble-based data assimilation of volcanic ash clouds from satellite observations: application to the 24 December 2018 Mt. Etna explosive eruption
Accurate tracking and forecasting of ash dispersal in the atmosphere and quantification of its
uncertainty are of fundamental importance for volcanic risk mitigation. Numerical models …
uncertainty are of fundamental importance for volcanic risk mitigation. Numerical models …