First and second order semi-Markov chains for wind speed modeling

G D'Amico, F Petroni, F Prattico - Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its …, 2013 - Elsevier
The increasing interest in renewable energy, particularly in wind, has given rise to the
necessity of accurate models for the generation of good synthetic wind speed data. Markov …

Copula based multivariate semi-Markov models with applications in high-frequency finance

G D'Amico, F Petroni - European Journal of Operational Research, 2018 - Elsevier
We introduce a new multivariate model of multiple asset returns. Our model is based on
weighted indexed semi-Markov chains to describe the single (marginals) asset returns …

Wind speed and energy forecasting at different time scales: A nonparametric approach

G D'Amico, F Petroni, F Prattico - Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its …, 2014 - Elsevier
The prediction of wind speed is one of the most important aspects when dealing with
renewable energy. In this paper we show a new nonparametric model, based on semi …

High-frequency stock market order transitions during the US–China trade war 2018: A discrete-time Markov chain analysis

S Rabindrajit Luwang, A Rai, M Nurujjaman… - … Journal of Nonlinear …, 2024 - pubs.aip.org
Statistical analysis of high-frequency stock market order transaction data is conducted to
understand order transition dynamics. We employ a first-order time-homogeneous discrete …

Semi-markov model for market microstructure

P Fodra, H Pham - Applied Mathematical Finance, 2015 - Taylor & Francis
We introduce a new model based on Markov renewal processes (MRP) describing the
fluctuations of a tick-by-tick single asset price. We consider a point process associated to the …

Wind speed modeled as an indexed semi‐Markov process

G D'Amico, F Petroni, F Prattico - Environmetrics, 2013 - Wiley Online Library
The production of energy through wind turbines is increasing enormously in the latest years.
To better design wind turbines, a good model for wind speed is needed. In a previous paper …

Weighted-indexed semi-Markov model: calibration and application to financial modeling

R De Blasis - Financial Innovation, 2023 - Springer
We address the calibration issues of the weighted-indexed semi-Markov chain (WISMC)
model applied to high-frequency financial data. Specifically, we propose to automate the …

A semi-Markov model for price returns

G D'Amico, F Petroni - Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its applications, 2012 - Elsevier
We study the high frequency price dynamics of traded stocks by a model of returns using a
semi-Markov approach. More precisely we assume that the intraday returns are described …

Reliability measures for indexed semi-Markov chains applied to wind energy production

F Petroni, F Prattico - Reliability Engineering & System Safety, 2015 - Elsevier
The computation of the dependability measures is a crucial point in many engineering
problems as well as in the planning and development of a wind farm. In this paper we …

Managing wind power generation via indexed semi-markov model and copula

G D'Amico, G Masala, F Petroni, RA Sobolewski - Energies, 2020 - mdpi.com
Because of the stochastic nature of wind turbines, the output power management of wind
power generation (WPG) is a fundamental challenge for the integration of wind energy …