FRED-QD: A quarterly database for macroeconomic research

M McCracken, S Ng - 2020 - nber.org
In this paper we present and describe a large quarterly frequency, macroeconomic
database. The data provided are closely modeled to that used in Stock and Watson (2012a) …

Minnesota-type adaptive hierarchical priors for large Bayesian VARs

JCC Chan - International Journal of Forecasting, 2021 - Elsevier
Abstract Large Bayesian VARs with stochastic volatility are increasingly used in empirical
macroeconomics. The key to making these highly parameterized VARs useful is the use of …

Fast and accurate variational inference for large Bayesian VARs with stochastic volatility

JCC Chan, X Yu - Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 2022 - Elsevier
We propose a new variational approximation of the joint posterior distribution of the log-
volatility in the context of large Bayesian VARs. In contrast to existing approaches that are …

Large hybrid time-varying parameter VARs

JCC Chan - Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, 2023 - Taylor & Francis
Time-varying parameter VARs with stochastic volatility are routinely used for structural
analysis and forecasting in settings involving a few endogenous variables. Applying these …

[图书][B] Large Bayesian vector autoregressions

JCC Chan - 2020 - Springer
Bayesian vector autoregressions are widely used for macroeconomic forecasting and
structural analysis. Until recently, however, most empirical work had considered only small …

Computationally efficient inference in large Bayesian mixed frequency VARs

D Gefang, G Koop, A Poon - Economics Letters, 2020 - Elsevier
Abstract Mixed frequency Vector Autoregressions (MF-VARs) can be used to provide timely
and high frequency estimates or nowcasts of variables for which data is available at a low …

Macroeconomic forecasting in a multi‐country context

Y Bai, A Carriero, TE Clark… - Journal of Applied …, 2022 - Wiley Online Library
In this paper, we propose a hierarchical shrinkage approach for multi‐country VAR models.
In implementation, we consider three different scale mixtures Normals priors and provide …

Smoothing volatility targeting

M Bernardi, D Bianchi, N Bianco - arXiv preprint arXiv:2212.07288, 2022 - arxiv.org
We propose an alternative approach towards cost mitigation in volatility-managed portfolios
based on smoothing the predictive density of an otherwise standard stochastic volatility …

Smoothing Volatility-Managed Portfolios

D Bianchi, M Bernardi, N Bianco - Available at SSRN 4303998, 2022 - papers.ssrn.com
We propose an alternative approach towards cost mitigation in volatility-managed portfolios
based on smoothing the predictive density of an otherwise standard stochastic volatility …

Bayesian nonparametric graphical models for time-varying parameters VAR

M Iacopini, L Rossini - arXiv preprint arXiv:1906.02140, 2019 - arxiv.org
Over the last decade, big data have poured into econometrics, demanding new statistical
methods for analysing high-dimensional data and complex non-linear relationships. A …