FRED-QD: A quarterly database for macroeconomic research
M McCracken, S Ng - 2020 - nber.org
In this paper we present and describe a large quarterly frequency, macroeconomic
database. The data provided are closely modeled to that used in Stock and Watson (2012a) …
database. The data provided are closely modeled to that used in Stock and Watson (2012a) …
Minnesota-type adaptive hierarchical priors for large Bayesian VARs
JCC Chan - International Journal of Forecasting, 2021 - Elsevier
Abstract Large Bayesian VARs with stochastic volatility are increasingly used in empirical
macroeconomics. The key to making these highly parameterized VARs useful is the use of …
macroeconomics. The key to making these highly parameterized VARs useful is the use of …
Fast and accurate variational inference for large Bayesian VARs with stochastic volatility
We propose a new variational approximation of the joint posterior distribution of the log-
volatility in the context of large Bayesian VARs. In contrast to existing approaches that are …
volatility in the context of large Bayesian VARs. In contrast to existing approaches that are …
Large hybrid time-varying parameter VARs
JCC Chan - Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, 2023 - Taylor & Francis
Time-varying parameter VARs with stochastic volatility are routinely used for structural
analysis and forecasting in settings involving a few endogenous variables. Applying these …
analysis and forecasting in settings involving a few endogenous variables. Applying these …
[图书][B] Large Bayesian vector autoregressions
JCC Chan - 2020 - Springer
Bayesian vector autoregressions are widely used for macroeconomic forecasting and
structural analysis. Until recently, however, most empirical work had considered only small …
structural analysis. Until recently, however, most empirical work had considered only small …
Computationally efficient inference in large Bayesian mixed frequency VARs
Abstract Mixed frequency Vector Autoregressions (MF-VARs) can be used to provide timely
and high frequency estimates or nowcasts of variables for which data is available at a low …
and high frequency estimates or nowcasts of variables for which data is available at a low …
Macroeconomic forecasting in a multi‐country context
In this paper, we propose a hierarchical shrinkage approach for multi‐country VAR models.
In implementation, we consider three different scale mixtures Normals priors and provide …
In implementation, we consider three different scale mixtures Normals priors and provide …
Smoothing volatility targeting
M Bernardi, D Bianchi, N Bianco - arXiv preprint arXiv:2212.07288, 2022 - arxiv.org
We propose an alternative approach towards cost mitigation in volatility-managed portfolios
based on smoothing the predictive density of an otherwise standard stochastic volatility …
based on smoothing the predictive density of an otherwise standard stochastic volatility …
Smoothing Volatility-Managed Portfolios
D Bianchi, M Bernardi, N Bianco - Available at SSRN 4303998, 2022 - papers.ssrn.com
We propose an alternative approach towards cost mitigation in volatility-managed portfolios
based on smoothing the predictive density of an otherwise standard stochastic volatility …
based on smoothing the predictive density of an otherwise standard stochastic volatility …
Bayesian nonparametric graphical models for time-varying parameters VAR
M Iacopini, L Rossini - arXiv preprint arXiv:1906.02140, 2019 - arxiv.org
Over the last decade, big data have poured into econometrics, demanding new statistical
methods for analysing high-dimensional data and complex non-linear relationships. A …
methods for analysing high-dimensional data and complex non-linear relationships. A …