Superforecasting reality check: Evidence from a small pool of experts and expedited identification

I Katsagounos, DD Thomakos, K Litsiou… - European journal of …, 2021 - Elsevier
Superforecasting has drawn the attention of academics-despite earlier contradictory findings
in the literature, arguing that humans can consistently and successfully forecast over long …

Relative performance of methods for forecasting special events

K Nikolopoulos, A Litsa, F Petropoulos… - Journal of Business …, 2015 - Elsevier
Forecasting special events such as conflicts and epidemics is challenging because of their
nature and the limited amount of historical information from which a reference base can be …

A strategic forecasting framework for governmental decision-making and planning

ND Savio, K Nikolopoulos - International Journal of Forecasting, 2013 - Elsevier
An important stage in the policy-making process involves deciding on the strategy to be
adopted for implementation, so that the objectives of the policy are met in the best possible …

Relative performance of judgmental methods for forecasting the success of megaprojects

K Litsiou, Y Polychronakis, A Karami… - International Journal of …, 2022 - Elsevier
Forecasting the success of megaprojects, such as the Olympic Games or space exploration
missions, is a very difficult but important task, due to their complexity and the large capital …

[PDF][PDF] New public policy and its impact on comprehensive development plan

M Khalifa, R Atwa - Information Sciences Letters, 2021 - digitalcommons.aaru.edu.jo
The transportation sector is one of the most important and vital service sectors and directly
related to all other economic and social sectors. The transportation network is considered to …

Forecasting effectiveness of policy implementation strategies: working with semi‐experts

ND Savio, K Nikolopoulos - Foresight, 2009 - emerald.com
Purpose–Policy implementation strategies (PIS) are schemes designed by a government
with an aim of hitting targets or attaining objectives set out by a policy. Forecasting by …

Public value of e-Government investments in the developing countries: empirical exploration of the public sector in Kenya

KO Okong'o - 2016 - open.uct.ac.za
In private and public sectors, Information Communication Technologies (ICTs) have become
a phenomenal asset of resource in strategic management. In developed countries, ICTs are …

Judgmental forecasting from graphs and from experience

Z Theochari - 2014 - discovery.ucl.ac.uk
Research in the field of forecasting suggests that judgmental forecasts are typically subject
to a number of biases. These biases may be related to the statistical characteristics of the …

A web forecasting system supporting policy implementation: the case of 'digital planning'in Greece

K Nikolopoulos, A Litsa, F Petropoulos… - International …, 2012 - inderscienceonline.com
'Digital strategy'is an EU-level policy promoting the use of ICT in houses and companies
across Europe, so as to improve standards of living and competitiveness respectively. This …

Boosting organizational decision making through structured super-forecasting

Η Κατσάγουνος - 2019 - amitos.library.uop.gr
The past three decades have witnessed a phenomenal pivoting towards Judgmental
Forecasting (JF), which demonstrates the importance of “critical thinking” in providing …