Uncertainty before and during COVID‐19: A survey

E Castelnuovo - Journal of Economic Surveys, 2023 - Wiley Online Library
This survey features three parts. The first one reviews the most recent literature on the
relationship between domestic (ie, country‐specific) uncertainty and the business cycle, and …

Shipping costs and inflation

Y Carrière-Swallow, P Deb, D Furceri… - Journal of International …, 2023 - Elsevier
The Covid-19 pandemic has disrupted global supply chains, leading to shipment delays and
soaring shipping costs. We study the impact of global shipping costs—measured by the …

The economic effects of COVID-19 containment measures

P Deb, D Furceri, JD Ostry, N Tawk - 2020 - papers.ssrn.com
Containment measures are crucial to halt the spread of the 2019 COVID-19 pandemic but
entail large short-term economic costs. This paper tries to quantify these effects using daily …

Austerity: When it Works and when it Doesn't

A Alesina, F Giavazzi, C Favero - 2019 - torrossa.com
The term “austerity” indicates a policy of sizeable reduction of govern-ment deficits and
stabilization of government debt achieved by means of spending cuts or tax increases, or …

The economic effects of COVID-19 containment measures

P Deb, D Furceri, JD Ostry, N Tawk - Open Economies Review, 2022 - Springer
This paper examines the economic effects of COVID-19 containment measures using daily
global data on containment measures, infections, and economic activity indicators, such as …

Oil prices and inflation dynamics: Evidence from advanced and developing economies

S Choi, D Furceri, P Loungani, S Mishra… - Journal of International …, 2018 - Elsevier
We study the impact of fluctuations in global oil prices on domestic inflation using an
unbalanced panel of 72 advanced and developing economies over the period from 1970 to …

[HTML][HTML] The permanent effects of fiscal consolidations

A Fatás, LH Summers - Journal of International Economics, 2018 - Elsevier
The global financial crisis has permanently lowered the path of GDP in all advanced
economies. At the same time, and in response to rising government debt levels, many of …

The long shadow of a fiscal expansion

CE Bai, CT Hsieh, ZM Song - 2016 - nber.org
In 2009 and 2010, China undertook a 4 trillion Yuan fiscal stimulus, roughly equivalent to 12
percent of annual GDP. The" fiscal" stimulus was largely financed by off-balance sheet …

Growth forecast errors and fiscal multipliers

OJ Blanchard, D Leigh - American Economic Review, 2013 - aeaweb.org
This paper investigates the relation between growth forecast errors and planned fiscal
consolidation during the crisis. We find that, in advanced economies, stronger planned fiscal …

The effect of containment measures on the COVID-19 pandemic

P Deb, D Furceri, JD Ostry, N Tawk - 2020 - papers.ssrn.com
Countries have implemented several containment measures to halt the spread of the 2019
coronavirus disease, but it remains unclear the extent to which these unprecedented …