The relationship between DSGE and VAR models

R Giacomini - VAR models in macroeconomics–new developments …, 2013 - emerald.com
This article reviews the literature on the econometric relationship between DSGE and VAR
models from the point of view of estimation and model validation. The mapping between …

Structural breaks in time series

A Casini, P Perron - arXiv preprint arXiv:1805.03807, 2018 - arxiv.org
This chapter covers methodological issues related to estimation, testing and computation for
models involving structural changes. Our aim is to review developments as they relate to …

Exchange rate forecasting with DSGE models

M Ca'Zorzi, M Kolasa, M Rubaszek - Journal of International Economics, 2017 - Elsevier
We run an exchange rate forecasting “horse race”, which highlights that three principles
hold. First, forecasts should not replicate the high volatility of exchange rates observed in …

[HTML][HTML] Cost, emission, and macroeconomic implications of diesel displacement in the Saudi agricultural sector: Options and policy insights

AM Elshurafa, H Alatawi, FJ Hasanov, GJ Algahtani… - Energy Policy, 2022 - Elsevier
The Saudi agricultural sector relies on diesel for irrigation that is provided to farmers at a
price much lower than the average global price, implying significant opportunity costs. By …

[HTML][HTML] Oil and non-oil determinants of Saudi Arabia's international competitiveness: Historical analysis and policy simulations

FJ Hasanov, N Razek - Sustainability, 2023 - mdpi.com
To achieve sustainable economic growth, Saudi Vision 2030's target is to improve Saudi
Arabia's ranking on the Global Competitiveness Index from 25 in 2015–2016 to within the …

Can agents with causal misperceptions be systematically fooled?

R Spiegler - Journal of the European Economic Association, 2020 - academic.oup.com
An agent forms estimates (or forecasts) of individual variables conditional on some observed
signal. His estimates are based on fitting a subjective causal model—formalized as a …

Обзор методов макроэкономического прогнозирования: в поисках перспективных направлений для России

АА Пестова, МЕ Мамонов - Вопросы экономики, 2016 - elibrary.ru
В работе описана эволюция макроэкономических теорий в XX в. и развитие
эмпирических моделей, предназначенных для прикладного макроэкономического …

[图书][B] A Macroeconometric Model for Saudi Arabia: A Case Study on the World's Largest Oil Exporter

FJ Hasanov, FL Joutz, JI Mikayilov, M Javid - 2023 - library.oapen.org
This Open Access Brief presents the KAPSARC Global Energy Macroeconometric Model
(KGEMM). KGEMM is a policy analysis tool for examining the impacts of domestic policy …

Evaluating performance of inflation forecasting models of Pakistan

MN Hanif, MJ Malik - 2015 - mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de
This study compares the forecasting performance of various models of inflation for a
developing country estimated over the period of last two decades. Performance is measured …

Long-term strategic thinking, the Themis method and the future of food

M Ginanneschi - Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 2021 - Elsevier
We are living in an age of accelerated change and even those industries, once dealing with
relatively stable consumer habits, are now faced with the question: in the long run, which …