Machine learning time series regressions with an application to nowcasting
This article introduces structured machine learning regressions for high-dimensional time
series data potentially sampled at different frequencies. The sparse-group LASSO estimator …
series data potentially sampled at different frequencies. The sparse-group LASSO estimator …
Words or numbers? Macroeconomic nowcasting with textual and macroeconomic data
This paper performs the nowcasting of GDP growth rate and inflation expectation in China
with traditional macroeconomic and novel textual data estimated by the latent Dirichlet …
with traditional macroeconomic and novel textual data estimated by the latent Dirichlet …
A machine learning approach for detecting unemployment using the smart metering infrastructure
CAC Montañez, W Hurst - IEEE Access, 2020 - ieeexplore.ieee.org
Technological advancements in the field of electrical energy distribution and utilization are
revolutionizing the way consumers and utility providers interact. In addition to allowing utility …
revolutionizing the way consumers and utility providers interact. In addition to allowing utility …
The long-term and disparate impact of job loss on individual mobility behaviour
In today's interconnected world of widespread mobility, ubiquitous social interaction, and
rapid information dissemination, the demand for individuals to swiftly adapt their behaviors …
rapid information dissemination, the demand for individuals to swiftly adapt their behaviors …
Nowcasting the Australian Labour Market at Disaggregated Levels
S Shamiri, L Ngai, P Lake, Y Shan… - Australian Economic …, 2022 - Wiley Online Library
Detailed labour market and economic data are often released infrequently and with
considerable time lags between collection and release, making it difficult for policy‐makers …
considerable time lags between collection and release, making it difficult for policy‐makers …
Aggregate learning for mixed frequency data
T Toda, D Moriwaki, K Ota - … Conference on Big Data (Big Data), 2022 - ieeexplore.ieee.org
Large and acute economic shocks such as the 2007-2009 financial crisis and the current
COVID-19 infections rapidly change the economic environment. In such a situation, real-time …
COVID-19 infections rapidly change the economic environment. In such a situation, real-time …
Improving the performance of multivariate forecasting models through feature engineering: A South African unemployment rate forecasting case study
R Mulaudzi, R Ajoodha - Interdisciplinary Research in Technology …, 2021 - taylorfrancis.com
The ability of machine learning models to forecast unemployment rates better than
traditional statistical methods has been well established in literature. The ambition of …
traditional statistical methods has been well established in literature. The ambition of …
Real-time private consumption prediction using big data
As economic uncertainties have increased recently due to COVID-19, there is a growing
need to quickly grasp private consumption trends that directly reflect the economic situation …
need to quickly grasp private consumption trends that directly reflect the economic situation …
Labor Force Transition Dynamics: Unemployment Rate or Job Posting Counts?
K Shen, Y Zhu - Big Data Applications in Labor Economics, Part A, 2024 - emerald.com
Job posting counts (JPCs) are emerging as indicators of employment dynamics, yet their
validity requires assessment. This study evaluates the effectiveness of big-data–based JPCs …
validity requires assessment. This study evaluates the effectiveness of big-data–based JPCs …
Predicting macroeconomic indicators from online activity data: A review
EA Costa, ME Silva - Statistical Journal of the IAOS, 2024 - journals.sagepub.com
Predictors of macroeconomic indicators rely primarily on traditional data sourced from
National Statistical Offices. However, new data sources made available from recent …
National Statistical Offices. However, new data sources made available from recent …