Machine learning time series regressions with an application to nowcasting

A Babii, E Ghysels, J Striaukas - Journal of Business & Economic …, 2022 - Taylor & Francis
This article introduces structured machine learning regressions for high-dimensional time
series data potentially sampled at different frequencies. The sparse-group LASSO estimator …

Words or numbers? Macroeconomic nowcasting with textual and macroeconomic data

T Zheng, X Fan, W Jin, K Fang - International Journal of Forecasting, 2024 - Elsevier
This paper performs the nowcasting of GDP growth rate and inflation expectation in China
with traditional macroeconomic and novel textual data estimated by the latent Dirichlet …

A machine learning approach for detecting unemployment using the smart metering infrastructure

CAC Montañez, W Hurst - IEEE Access, 2020 - ieeexplore.ieee.org
Technological advancements in the field of electrical energy distribution and utilization are
revolutionizing the way consumers and utility providers interact. In addition to allowing utility …

The long-term and disparate impact of job loss on individual mobility behaviour

S Centellegher, M De Nadai, M Tonin, B Lepri… - arXiv preprint arXiv …, 2024 - arxiv.org
In today's interconnected world of widespread mobility, ubiquitous social interaction, and
rapid information dissemination, the demand for individuals to swiftly adapt their behaviors …

Nowcasting the Australian Labour Market at Disaggregated Levels

S Shamiri, L Ngai, P Lake, Y Shan… - Australian Economic …, 2022 - Wiley Online Library
Detailed labour market and economic data are often released infrequently and with
considerable time lags between collection and release, making it difficult for policy‐makers …

Aggregate learning for mixed frequency data

T Toda, D Moriwaki, K Ota - … Conference on Big Data (Big Data), 2022 - ieeexplore.ieee.org
Large and acute economic shocks such as the 2007-2009 financial crisis and the current
COVID-19 infections rapidly change the economic environment. In such a situation, real-time …

Improving the performance of multivariate forecasting models through feature engineering: A South African unemployment rate forecasting case study

R Mulaudzi, R Ajoodha - Interdisciplinary Research in Technology …, 2021 - taylorfrancis.com
The ability of machine learning models to forecast unemployment rates better than
traditional statistical methods has been well established in literature. The ambition of …

Real-time private consumption prediction using big data

SJ Shin, B Seo - The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics, 2024 - koreascience.kr
As economic uncertainties have increased recently due to COVID-19, there is a growing
need to quickly grasp private consumption trends that directly reflect the economic situation …

Labor Force Transition Dynamics: Unemployment Rate or Job Posting Counts?

K Shen, Y Zhu - Big Data Applications in Labor Economics, Part A, 2024 - emerald.com
Job posting counts (JPCs) are emerging as indicators of employment dynamics, yet their
validity requires assessment. This study evaluates the effectiveness of big-data–based JPCs …

Predicting macroeconomic indicators from online activity data: A review

EA Costa, ME Silva - Statistical Journal of the IAOS, 2024 - journals.sagepub.com
Predictors of macroeconomic indicators rely primarily on traditional data sourced from
National Statistical Offices. However, new data sources made available from recent …