The role of tropical Atlantic in ENSO predictability barrier

Y Zhao, Y Jin, A Capotondi, J Li… - Geophysical Research …, 2023 - Wiley Online Library
This paper investigates the impacts of tropical Atlantic on El Niño‐Southern Oscillation
(ENSO) predictability through an empirical dynamical model‐Linear Inverse Model (LIM). By …

The role of extratropical Pacific in crossing ENSO spring predictability barrier

Y Zhao, Y Jin, J Li, A Capotondi - Geophysical Research Letters, 2022 - Wiley Online Library
This paper investigates the impacts of extratropical Pacific on El Niño‐Southern Oscillation
(ENSO) spring predictability barrier (SPB). Using an empirical dynamical model–Linear …

The indian ocean weakens the ENSO spring predictability barrier: role of the indian ocean basin and dipole modes

Y Jin, X Meng, L Zhang, Y Zhao, W Cai… - Journal of …, 2023 - journals.ametsoc.org
Abstract Prediction of El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is hindered by a spring
predictability barrier (SPB). In this paper, we investigate the effects of the Indian Ocean (IO) …

The role of seasonality and the ENSO mode in central and east Pacific ENSO growth and evolution

DJ Vimont, M Newman, DS Battisti… - Journal of Climate, 2022 - journals.ametsoc.org
A cyclostationary linear inverse model (CSLIM) is used to investigate the seasonal growth of
tropical Pacific Ocean El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) events with canonical, central …

Nonstationary modelling of significant wave height using time series decomposition method

W Huang, X Zhu, Y Jin, X Shen - Ocean Engineering, 2024 - Elsevier
Marine structures are typically designed to withstand extreme events of a specific return
period derived within a stationary framework. Nevertheless, this stationarity assumption may …

Seasonal gap theory for ENSO phase locking

SK Kim, SI An - Journal of Climate, 2021 - journals.ametsoc.org
The life cycle of El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) typically follows a seasonal march,
with onset in spring, developing during summer, maturing in boreal winter, and decaying …

Controls of spring persistence barrier strength in different ENSO regimes and implications for 21st century changes

Y Jin, Z Lu, Z Liu - Geophysical Research Letters, 2020 - Wiley Online Library
This paper investigates potential factors that control the El Niño–Southern Oscillation
(ENSO) Spring Persistence Barrier (SPB) strength in two different ENSO regimes and apply …

A theory of the spring persistence barrier on ENSO. Part I: The role of ENSO period

Y Jin, Z Liu - Journal of Climate, 2021 - journals.ametsoc.org
In this paper, we investigate the role of the period of El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) in
the spring persistence barrier (SPB), mainly using the neutral recharge oscillator (NRO) …

The potential role of seasonal surface heating on the chaotic origins of the El Niño/Southern Oscillation spring predictability barrier

D Yu, M Zhou, C Hang - Journal of Geophysical Research …, 2024 - Wiley Online Library
Abstract The Spring Predictability Barrier (SPB) phenomenon is characterized by the
reduced accuracy of El Niño/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) forecasts during the spring, which …

The late 1970s shift in ENSO persistence barrier modulated by the seasonal amplitude of ENSO growth rate

N Jiang, M Yu, B Lu, JCH Leung, C Zhu - Journal of Climate, 2023 - journals.ametsoc.org
The persistence barrier (PB), one of the El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) properties,
has exhibited a significant decadal variability, showing enhanced and weakened behavior …