Lake water temperature modeling in an era of climate change: Data sources, models, and future prospects
Lake thermal dynamics have been considerably impacted by climate change, with potential
adverse effects on aquatic ecosystems. To better understand the potential impacts of future …
adverse effects on aquatic ecosystems. To better understand the potential impacts of future …
An audacious approach to conservation
RM Ewers - Trends in Ecology & Evolution, 2024 - cell.com
New digital and sensor technology provides a huge opportunity to revolutionise
conservation, but we lack a plan for deploying the technologies effectively. I argue that …
conservation, but we lack a plan for deploying the technologies effectively. I argue that …
Phylogenetic estimates of species-level phenology improve ecological forecasting
The ability to adapt to climate change requires accurate ecological forecasting. Current
forecasts, however, have failed to capture important variability in biological responses …
forecasts, however, have failed to capture important variability in biological responses …
[HTML][HTML] Process-based forecasts of lake water temperature and dissolved oxygen outperform null models, with variability over time and depth
Near-term iterative ecological forecasting has great potential for providing new insights into
our ability to predict multiple ecological variables. However, true, out-of-sample probabilistic …
our ability to predict multiple ecological variables. However, true, out-of-sample probabilistic …
Forecasting seed production in perennial plants: identifying challenges and charting a path forward
Interannual variability of seed production, known as masting, has far‐reaching ecological
impacts including effects on forest regeneration and the population dynamics of seed …
impacts including effects on forest regeneration and the population dynamics of seed …
[HTML][HTML] Using plant functional types to predict the influence of fire on species relative abundance
Fire influences plant survival, reproduction, and establishment. Consequently, plants exhibit
fire-related traits. Grouping species with similar traits into Plant Functional Types (PFTs) …
fire-related traits. Grouping species with similar traits into Plant Functional Types (PFTs) …
Thermal Forcing Versus Chilling? Misspecification of Temperature Controls in Spring Phenology Models
Background Climate‐change‐induced shifts in the timing of leaf emergence during spring
have been widely documented and have important ecological consequences. However …
have been widely documented and have important ecological consequences. However …
Near-term ecological forecasting for climate change action
A substantial increase in predictive capacity is needed to anticipate and mitigate the
widespread change in ecosystems and their services in the face of climate and biodiversity …
widespread change in ecosystems and their services in the face of climate and biodiversity …
Spatio-temporal transferability of environmentally-dependent population models: insights from the intrinsic predictabilities of Adélie penguin abundance time series
Ecological predictions are necessary for testing whether processes hypothesized to regulate
species population dynamics are generalizable across time and space. In order to …
species population dynamics are generalizable across time and space. In order to …
A community convention for ecological forecasting: Output files and metadata version 1.0
This paper summarizes the open community conventions developed by the Ecological
Forecasting Initiative (EFI) for the common formatting and archiving of ecological forecasts …
Forecasting Initiative (EFI) for the common formatting and archiving of ecological forecasts …