Sub‐seasonal forecasting with a large ensemble of deep‐learning weather prediction models
We present an ensemble prediction system using a Deep Learning Weather Prediction
(DLWP) model that recursively predicts six key atmospheric variables with six‐hour time …
(DLWP) model that recursively predicts six key atmospheric variables with six‐hour time …
[图书][B] Forecast verification: a practitioner's guide in atmospheric science
IT Jolliffe, DB Stephenson - 2012 - books.google.com
Forecast Verification: A Practioner's Guide in Atmospheric Science, 2nd Edition provides an
indispensible guide to this area of active research by combining depth of information with a …
indispensible guide to this area of active research by combining depth of information with a …
Evolution of ECMWF sub‐seasonal forecast skill scores
F Vitart - Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 2014 - Wiley Online Library
Sub‐seasonal forecasts have been routinely produced at ECMWF since 2002 with
reforecasts produced 'on the fly'to calibrate the real‐time sub‐seasonal forecasts. In this …
reforecasts produced 'on the fly'to calibrate the real‐time sub‐seasonal forecasts. In this …
Risks of model weighting in multimodel climate projections
AP Weigel, R Knutti, MA Liniger… - Journal of …, 2010 - journals.ametsoc.org
Multimodel combination is a pragmatic approach to estimating model uncertainties and to
making climate projections more reliable. The simplest way of constructing a multimodel is to …
making climate projections more reliable. The simplest way of constructing a multimodel is to …
Simulation of the Madden–Julian oscillation and its teleconnections in the ECMWF forecast system
A series of 46‐day ensemble integrations starting on the 15th of each month from 1989 to
2008 has been completed with the European Centre for Medium‐Range Weather Forecasts …
2008 has been completed with the European Centre for Medium‐Range Weather Forecasts …
The forecast skill horizon
R Buizza, M Leutbecher - Quarterly Journal of the Royal …, 2015 - Wiley Online Library
Numerical weather prediction has seen, in the past 25 years, a shift from a 'deterministic'
approach, based on single numerical integrations, to a probabilistic one, with ensembles of …
approach, based on single numerical integrations, to a probabilistic one, with ensembles of …
Review of onsite temperature and solar forecasting models to enable better building design and operations
Advanced building controls and energy optimization for new constructions and retrofits rely
on accurate weather data. Traditionally, most studies utilize airport weather information as …
on accurate weather data. Traditionally, most studies utilize airport weather information as …
Advancing parsimonious deep learning weather prediction using the healpix mesh
M Karlbauer, N Cresswell‐Clay… - Journal of Advances …, 2024 - Wiley Online Library
We present a parsimonious deep learning weather prediction model to forecast seven
atmospheric variables with 3‐hr time resolution for up to 1‐year lead times on a 110‐km …
atmospheric variables with 3‐hr time resolution for up to 1‐year lead times on a 110‐km …
Skill of subseasonal forecasts in Europe: Effect of bias correction and downscaling using surface observations
S Monhart, C Spirig, J Bhend, K Bogner… - Journal of …, 2018 - Wiley Online Library
Subseasonal predictions bridge the gap between medium‐range weather forecasts and
seasonal climate predictions. This time horizon is of crucial importance for many planning …
seasonal climate predictions. This time horizon is of crucial importance for many planning …
[HTML][HTML] Choices in the verification of S2S forecasts and their implications for climate services
A Manrique-Suñén… - Monthly Weather …, 2020 - journals.ametsoc.org
Anderson, J., H. van den Dool, AG Barnston, W. Chen, W. Stern, and J. Ploshay, 1999:
Present-day capabilities of numerical and statistical models for atmospheric extratropical …
Present-day capabilities of numerical and statistical models for atmospheric extratropical …