While deterministically predicting the time and location of earthquakes remains impossible,
earthquake forecasting models can provide estimates of the probabilities of earthquakes …

Aftershocks can compound the impacts of a major earthquake, disrupting recovery efforts
and potentially further damaging weakened buildings and infrastructure. Forecasts of the …

ABSTRACT The Collaboratory for the Study of Earthquake Predictability (CSEP) is a global
cyberinfrastructure for prospective evaluations of earthquake forecast models and prediction …

Geothermal energy is becoming an important clean energy source, however, the stimulation
of a reservoir for an Enhanced Geothermal System (EGS) is associated with seismic risk due …

The epidemic‐type aftershock sequence (ETAS) model is the most effective mathematical
description of the short‐term space–time earthquake clustering. However, the use of such a …

We present two models for estimating the probabilities of future earthquakes in California, to
be tested in the Collaboratory for the Study of Earthquake Predictability (CSEP). The first is a …

In 2009, the global Collaboratory for the Study of Earthquake Predictability (CSEP) launched
three experiments to forecast the distribution of earthquakes in Italy in the subsequent 5 yrs …

The 2019 Ridgecrest sequence provides the first opportunity to evaluate Uniform California
Earthquake Rupture Forecast v. 3 with epidemic‐type aftershock sequences (UCERF3 …

Abstract The Regional Earthquake Likelihood Models (RELM) working group designed a 5‐
year experiment to forecast the number, spatial distribution, and magnitude distribution of …

We perform a retrospective forecast experiment on the 1992 Landers sequence comparing
the predictive power of commonly used model frameworks for short‐term earthquake …