A review on statistical postprocessing methods for hydrometeorological ensemble forecasting
Computer simulation models have been widely used to generate hydrometeorological
forecasts. As the raw forecasts contain uncertainties arising from various sources, including …
forecasts. As the raw forecasts contain uncertainties arising from various sources, including …
Bayesian flood forecasting methods: A review
S Han, P Coulibaly - Journal of Hydrology, 2017 - Elsevier
Over the past few decades, floods have been seen as one of the most common and largely
distributed natural disasters in the world. If floods could be accurately forecasted in advance …
distributed natural disasters in the world. If floods could be accurately forecasted in advance …
Generating ensemble streamflow forecasts: A review of methods and approaches over the past 40 years
Ensemble forecasting applied to the field of hydrology is currently an established area of
research embracing a broad spectrum of operational situations. This work catalogs the …
research embracing a broad spectrum of operational situations. This work catalogs the …
基于多模型随机组合的水文集合预报方法研究
赵泽谦, 黄强, 明波, 陈晶, 刘登峰, 陈玺 - 水力发电学报, 2021 - slfdxb.cn
准确, 可靠的水文预报是水资源开发利用的基础. 集合预报以概率或区间的形式表征预报的不
确定性, 是未来水文预报研究的重点发展方向. 本文提出了一种基于多模型随机组合的水文集合 …
确定性, 是未来水文预报研究的重点发展方向. 本文提出了一种基于多模型随机组合的水文集合 …
[PDF][PDF] 变化环境下气象水文预报研究进展
雷晓辉, 王浩, 廖卫红, 杨明祥, 桂梓玲 - 水利学报, 2018 - jhe.ches.org.cn
随着全球气候变化, 下垫面改变及高强度人类活动的不断加剧, 流域降水, 蒸发,
径流等气象水文要素都受到直接性的影响, 水文序列的一致性假设不复存在. 在变化环境下 …
径流等气象水文要素都受到直接性的影响, 水文序列的一致性假设不复存在. 在变化环境下 …
Multiple hydropower reservoirs operation optimization by adaptive mutation sine cosine algorithm based on neighborhood search and simplex search strategies
Recently, the multiple hydropower reservoirs operation optimization is attracting rising
concerns from researchers and engineers since it can not only improve the utilization …
concerns from researchers and engineers since it can not only improve the utilization …
[PDF][PDF] 贝叶斯概率水文预报研究进展与展望
刘章君, 郭生练, 许新发, 成静清, 钟逸轩, 巴欢欢 - 水利学报, 2019 - jhe.ches.org.cn
水文预报不可避免地存在着输入, 水文模型参数和结构等不确定性, 导致预报结果也具有不确定
性. 因此, 定量估计水文预报的不确定性, 实现概率水文预报, 不仅可得到比确定性预报更高的 …
性. 因此, 定量估计水文预报的不确定性, 实现概率水文预报, 不仅可得到比确定性预报更高的 …
Evaluating the tradeoff between hydropower benefit and ecological interest under climate change: How will the water-energy-ecosystem nexus evolve in the upper …
Hydropower plant operation alters natural streamflow regimes, which leads to tradeoff
between hydropower benefits and the needs of downstream river ecosystems. This study …
between hydropower benefits and the needs of downstream river ecosystems. This study …
Long‐term water imbalances of watersheds resulting from biases in hydroclimatic data sets for water budget analyses
Assessing the water budget closures and source of water budget imbalances is fundamental
to improving the understanding of changes in the hydrological system and their associated …
to improving the understanding of changes in the hydrological system and their associated …
Error reduction and representation in stages (ERRIS) in hydrological modelling for ensemble streamflow forecasting
This study develops a new error modelling method for ensemble short-term and real-time
streamflow forecasting, called error reduction and representation in stages (ERRIS). The …
streamflow forecasting, called error reduction and representation in stages (ERRIS). The …