Computer simulation models have been widely used to generate hydrometeorological
forecasts. As the raw forecasts contain uncertainties arising from various sources, including …

Over the past few decades, floods have been seen as one of the most common and largely
distributed natural disasters in the world. If floods could be accurately forecasted in advance …

Ensemble forecasting applied to the field of hydrology is currently an established area of
research embracing a broad spectrum of operational situations. This work catalogs the …

准确, 可靠的水文预报是水资源开发利用的基础. 集合预报以概率或区间的形式表征预报的不
确定性, 是未来水文预报研究的重点发展方向. 本文提出了一种基于多模型随机组合的水文集合 …

随着全球气候变化, 下垫面改变及高强度人类活动的不断加剧, 流域降水, 蒸发,
径流等气象水文要素都受到直接性的影响, 水文序列的一致性假设不复存在. 在变化环境下 …

Recently, the multiple hydropower reservoirs operation optimization is attracting rising
concerns from researchers and engineers since it can not only improve the utilization …

水文预报不可避免地存在着输入, 水文模型参数和结构等不确定性, 导致预报结果也具有不确定
性. 因此, 定量估计水文预报的不确定性, 实现概率水文预报, 不仅可得到比确定性预报更高的 …

Hydropower plant operation alters natural streamflow regimes, which leads to tradeoff
between hydropower benefits and the needs of downstream river ecosystems. This study …

Assessing the water budget closures and source of water budget imbalances is fundamental
to improving the understanding of changes in the hydrological system and their associated …

This study develops a new error modelling method for ensemble short-term and real-time
streamflow forecasting, called error reduction and representation in stages (ERRIS). The …