[HTML][HTML] Mediterranean cyclones: Current knowledge and open questions on dynamics, prediction, climatology and impacts

E Flaounas, S Davolio, S Raveh-Rubin… - Weather and Climate …, 2022 - wcd.copernicus.org
A large number of intense cyclones occur every year in the Mediterranean basin, one of the
climate change hotspots. Producing a broad range of severe socio-economic and …

The ALADIN System and its canonical model configurations AROME CY41T1 and ALARO CY40T1

P Termonia, C Fischer, E Bazile… - Geoscientific Model …, 2018 - gmd.copernicus.org
The ALADIN System is a numerical weather prediction (NWP) system developed by the
international ALADIN consortium for operational weather forecasting and research …

[HTML][HTML] Overview towards improved understanding of the mechanisms leading to heavy precipitation in the western Mediterranean: lessons learned from HyMeX

S Khodayar, S Davolio, P Di Girolamo… - Atmospheric …, 2021 - acp.copernicus.org
Heavy precipitation (HP) constitutes a major meteorological threat in the western
Mediterranean (WMed). Every year, recurrent events affect the area with fatal consequences …

The heavy precipitation event of 14–15 October 2018 in the Aude catchment: a meteorological study based on operational numerical weather prediction systems and …

O Caumont, M Mandement, F Bouttier… - … Hazards and Earth …, 2021 - nhess.copernicus.org
The case of the heavy precipitation event on 14 and 15 October 2018 which has led to
severe flash flooding in the Aude watershed in south-western France is studied from a …

[HTML][HTML] Propagating information from snow observations with CrocO ensemble data assimilation system: a 10-years case study over a snow depth observation …

B Cluzet, M Lafaysse, C Deschamps-Berger… - The …, 2022 - tc.copernicus.org
The mountainous snow cover is highly variable at all temporal and spatial scales. Snowpack
models only imperfectly represent this variability, because of uncertain meteorological …

[HTML][HTML] Combining short-range dispersion simulations with fine-scale meteorological ensembles: probabilistic indicators and evaluation during a Kr field campaign

Y El-Ouartassy, I Korsakissok, M Plu… - Atmospheric …, 2022 - acp.copernicus.org
Numerical atmospheric dispersion models (ADMs) are used for predicting the health and
environmental consequences of nuclear accidents in order to anticipate countermeasures …

Probabilistic forecasting of wind power production losses in cold climates: A case study

J Molinder, H Körnich, E Olsson… - Wind Energy …, 2018 - wes.copernicus.org
The problem of icing on wind turbines in cold climates is addressed using probabilistic
forecasting to improve next-day forecasts of icing and related production losses. A case …

Guidance on how to improve vertical covariance localization based on a 1000-member ensemble

T Necker, D Hinger, PJ Griewank… - Nonlinear Processes …, 2023 - npg.copernicus.org
The success of ensemble data assimilation systems substantially depends on localization,
which is required to mitigate sampling errors caused by modeling background error …

[HTML][HTML] Dependence of predictability of precipitation in the northwestern Mediterranean coastal region on the strength of synoptic control

C Keil, L Chabert, O Nuissier… - … Chemistry and Physics, 2020 - acp.copernicus.org
The weather-regime-dependent predictability of precipitation in the convection-permitting
kilometric-scale AROME-EPS is examined for the entire HyMeX-SOP1 employing the …

Probabilistic short-range forecasts of high-precipitation events: optimal decision thresholds and predictability limits

F Bouttier, H Marchal - Natural Hazards and Earth System …, 2024 - nhess.copernicus.org
Translation of ensemble predictions into high-precipitation warnings is assessed using user-
oriented metrics. Short-range probabilistic forecasts are derived from an operational …