An assessment of Earth's climate sensitivity using multiple lines of evidence

SC Sherwood, MJ Webb, JD Annan… - Reviews of …, 2020 - Wiley Online Library
We assess evidence relevant to Earth's equilibrium climate sensitivity per doubling of
atmospheric CO2, characterized by an effective sensitivity S. This evidence includes …

Context for interpreting equilibrium climate sensitivity and transient climate response from the CMIP6 Earth system models

GA Meehl, CA Senior, V Eyring, G Flato… - Science …, 2020 - science.org
For the current generation of earth system models participating in the Coupled Model
Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6), the range of equilibrium climate sensitivity (ECS …

[HTML][HTML] The Canadian earth system model version 5 (CanESM5. 0.3)

NC Swart, JNS Cole, VV Kharin… - Geoscientific Model …, 2019 - gmd.copernicus.org
Abstract The Canadian Earth System Model version 5 (CanESM5) is a global model
developed to simulate historical climate change and variability, to make centennial-scale …

Framing, Context, and Methods (Chapter 1)

D Chen, M Rojas, BH Samset, K Cobb… - 2021 - pure.iiasa.ac.at
Working Group I (WGI) of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) assesses
the current evidence on the physical science of climate change, evaluating knowledge …

Past warming trend constrains future warming in CMIP6 models

KB Tokarska, MB Stolpe, S Sippel, EM Fischer… - Science …, 2020 - science.org
Future global warming estimates have been similar across past assessments, but several
climate models of the latest Sixth Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP6) simulate …

[HTML][HTML] Overview of the Norwegian Earth System Model (NorESM2) and key climate response of CMIP6 DECK, historical, and scenario simulations

Ø Seland, M Bentsen, D Olivié… - Geoscientific Model …, 2020 - gmd.copernicus.org
The second version of the coupled Norwegian Earth System Model (NorESM2) is presented
and evaluated. NorESM2 is based on the second version of the Community Earth System …

Climate and air-quality benefits of a realistic phase-out of fossil fuels

D Shindell, CJ Smith - Nature, 2019 - nature.com
The combustion of fossil fuels produces emissions of the long-lived greenhouse gas carbon
dioxide and of short-lived pollutants, including sulfur dioxide, that contribute to the formation …

[HTML][HTML] Effective radiative forcing and adjustments in CMIP6 models

CJ Smith, RJ Kramer, G Myhre… - Atmospheric …, 2020 - acp.copernicus.org
The effective radiative forcing, which includes the instantaneous forcing plus adjustments
from the atmosphere and surface, has emerged as the key metric of evaluating human and …

[HTML][HTML] Partitioning climate projection uncertainty with multiple large ensembles and CMIP5/6

F Lehner, C Deser, N Maher, J Marotzke… - Earth System …, 2020 - esd.copernicus.org
Partitioning uncertainty in projections of future climate change into contributions from
internal variability, model response uncertainty and emissions scenarios has historically …

[HTML][HTML] Reduced global warming from CMIP6 projections when weighting models by performance and independence

L Brunner, AG Pendergrass, F Lehner… - Earth System …, 2020 - esd.copernicus.org
The sixth Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP6) constitutes the latest update on
expected future climate change based on a new generation of climate models. To extract …