Tracing the international arrivals of SARS-CoV-2 Omicron variants after Aotearoa New Zealand reopened its border

J Douglas, D Winter, A McNeill, S Carr, M Bunce… - Nature …, 2022 - nature.com
In the second quarter of 2022, there was a global surge of emergent SARS-CoV-2 lineages
that had a distinct growth advantage over then-dominant Omicron BA. 1 and BA. 2 lineages …

Model-informed health and socio-economic benefits of enhancing global equity and access to Covid-19 vaccines

M Italia, F Della Rossa, F Dercole - Scientific Reports, 2023 - nature.com
We take a model-informed approach to the view that a global equitable access (GEA) to
Covid-19 vaccines is the key to bring this pandemic to an end. We show that the equitable …

Modelling the impact of the Omicron BA. 5 subvariant in New Zealand

A Lustig, G Vattiato, O Maclaren… - Journal of the …, 2023 - royalsocietypublishing.org
New Zealand experienced a wave of the Omicron variant of SARS-CoV-2 in early 2022,
which occurred against a backdrop of high two-dose vaccination rates, ongoing roll-out of …

[HTML][HTML] Modelling the dynamics of infection, waning of immunity and re-infection with the Omicron variant of SARS-CoV-2 in Aotearoa New Zealand

G Vattiato, A Lustig, OJ Maclaren, MJ Plank - Epidemics, 2022 - Elsevier
Abstract Aotearoa New Zealand experienced a wave of the Omicron variant of SARS-CoV-2
in 2022 with around 200 confirmed cases per 1000 people between January and May …

Using mechanistic model-based inference to understand and project epidemic dynamics with time-varying contact and vaccination rates

MJ Plank, SC Hendy, RN Binny, G Vattiato, A Lustig… - Scientific Reports, 2022 - nature.com
Epidemiological models range in complexity from relatively simple statistical models that
make minimal assumptions about the variables driving epidemic dynamics to more …

Inequities in COVID-19 Omicron infections and hospitalisations for Māori and Pacific people in Te Manawa Taki Midland region, New Zealand

J Whitehead, H Gan, J Heerikhuisen, G Gray… - Epidemiology & …, 2023 - cambridge.org
COVID-19 impacts population health equity. While mRNA vaccines protect against serious
illness and death, little New Zealand (NZ) data exist about the impact of Omicron–and the …

Near-term forecasting of Covid-19 cases and hospitalisations in Aotearoa New Zealand

MJ Plank, L Watson, OJ Maclaren - PLOS Computational Biology, 2024 - journals.plos.org
Near-term forecasting of infectious disease incidence and consequent demand for acute
healthcare services can support capacity planning and public health responses. Despite …

The role of the mathematical sciences in supporting the COVID-19 response in Australia and New Zealand

JM Mccaw, MJ Plank - The ANZIAM Journal, 2022 - cambridge.org
Mathematical modelling has been used to support the response to the COVID-19 pandemic
in countries around the world including Australia and New Zealand. Both these countries …

[HTML][HTML] The impact of Covid-19 vaccination in Aotearoa New Zealand: A modelling study

S Datta, G Vattiato, OJ Maclaren, N Hua, A Sporle… - Vaccine, 2024 - Elsevier
Abstract Aotearoa New Zealand implemented a Covid-19 elimination strategy in 2020 and
2021, which enabled a large majority of the population to be vaccinated before being …

Quantifying age-specific household contacts in Aotearoa New Zealand for infectious disease modelling

C Sullivan, P Senanayake… - Royal Society Open …, 2024 - royalsocietypublishing.org
Accounting for population age structure and age-specific contact patterns is crucial for
accurate modelling of human infectious disease dynamics and impact. A common approach …