Optimal dynamic regret in exp-concave online learning

D Baby, YX Wang - Conference on Learning Theory, 2021 - proceedings.mlr.press
We consider the problem of the Zinkevich (2003)-style dynamic regret minimization in online
learning with\emph {exp-concave} losses. We show that whenever improper learning is …

Optimal dynamic regret in proper online learning with strongly convex losses and beyond

D Baby, YX Wang - International Conference on Artificial …, 2022 - proceedings.mlr.press
We study the framework of universal dynamic regret minimization with strongly convex
losses. We answer an open problem in Baby and Wang 2021 by showing that in a proper …

Online label shift: Optimal dynamic regret meets practical algorithms

D Baby, S Garg, TC Yen… - Advances in …, 2024 - proceedings.neurips.cc
This paper focuses on supervised and unsupervised online label shift, where the class
marginals $ Q (y) $ variesbut the class-conditionals $ Q (x| y) $ remain invariant. In the …

Online forecasting of total-variation-bounded sequences

D Baby, YX Wang - Advances in Neural Information …, 2019 - proceedings.neurips.cc
We consider the problem of online forecasting of sequences of length $ n $ with total-
variation at most $ C_n $ using observations contaminated by independent $\sigma …

Field-aware calibration: a simple and empirically strong method for reliable probabilistic predictions

F Pan, X Ao, P Tang, M Lu, D Liu, L Xiao… - Proceedings of The Web …, 2020 - dl.acm.org
It is often observed that the probabilistic predictions given by a machine learning model can
disagree with averaged actual outcomes on specific subsets of data, which is also known as …

Adaptive online estimation of piecewise polynomial trends

D Baby, YX Wang - Advances in Neural Information …, 2020 - proceedings.neurips.cc
We consider the framework of non-stationary stochastic optimization [Besbes et. al. 2015]
with squared error losses and noisy gradient feedback where the dynamic regret of an …

An optimal reduction of tv-denoising to adaptive online learning

D Baby, X Zhao, YX Wang - International Conference on …, 2021 - proceedings.mlr.press
We consider the problem of estimating a function from $ n $ noisy samples whose discrete
Total Variation (TV) is bounded by $ C_n $. We reveal a deep connection to the seemingly …

Private isotonic regression

B Ghazi, P Kamath, R Kumar… - Advances in Neural …, 2022 - proceedings.neurips.cc
In this paper, we consider the problem of differentially private (DP) algorithms for isotonic
regression. For the most general problem of isotonic regression over a partially ordered set …

Second order path variationals in non-stationary online learning

D Baby, YX Wang - International Conference on Artificial …, 2023 - proceedings.mlr.press
We consider the problem of universal dynamic regret minimization under exp-concave and
smooth losses. We show that appropriately designed Strongly Adaptive algorithms achieve …

Calibrating sales forecasts in a pandemic using competitive online nonparametric regression

D Simchi-Levi, R Sun, MX Wu… - Management Science, 2024 - pubsonline.informs.org
Motivated by our collaboration with Anheuser-Busch InBev (AB InBev), a consumer
packaged goods (CPG) company, we consider the problem of forecasting sales under the …