[HTML][HTML] Causal counterfactual theory for the attribution of weather and climate-related events

A Hannart, J Pearl, FEL Otto… - Bulletin of the …, 2016 - journals.ametsoc.org
The emergence of clear semantics for causal claims and of a sound logic for causal
reasoning is relatively recent, with the consolidation over the past decades of a coherent …

[HTML][HTML] Data-driven non-Markovian closure models

D Kondrashov, MD Chekroun, M Ghil - Physica D: Nonlinear Phenomena, 2015 - Elsevier
This paper has two interrelated foci:(i) obtaining stable and efficient data-driven closure
models by using a multivariate time series of partial observations from a large-dimensional …

Probabilistic prediction of barrier‐island response to hurricanes

NG Plant, HF Stockdon - Journal of Geophysical Research …, 2012 - Wiley Online Library
Prediction of barrier‐island response to hurricane attack is important for assessing the
vulnerability of communities, infrastructure, habitat, and recreational assets to the impacts of …

A high-altitude wind resource assessment method for decentralized wind power based on improved linear regression

L Zhang, W Song, E Sun, Q Zhang, D Wu, F Chen… - Renewable Energy, 2025 - Elsevier
As centralized wind power construction approaches saturation, the demand for
decentralized wind power in cities, enterprises, and village is gradually increasing. Unlike …

Time-varying network-based approach for capturing hydrological extremes under climate change with application on drought

R Dutta, R Maity - Journal of Hydrology, 2021 - Elsevier
Hydrologic extremes often lead to droughts and floods that adversely affect the socio-
economic development. Change in the characteristics and causes of hydrologic extremes …

Bayesian learning of stochastic dynamical models

P Lu, PFJ Lermusiaux - Physica D: Nonlinear Phenomena, 2021 - Elsevier
A new methodology for rigorous Bayesian learning of high-dimensional stochastic
dynamical models is developed. The methodology performs parallelized computation of …

An end-to-end assessment of extreme weather impacts on food security

E Chavez, G Conway, M Ghil, M Sadler - Nature Climate Change, 2015 - nature.com
Both governments and the private sector urgently require better estimates of the likely
incidence of extreme weather events, their impacts on food crop production and the potential …

[HTML][HTML] Smoothing problems in a Bayesian framework and their linear Gaussian solutions

E Cosme, J Verron, P Brasseur, J Blum… - Monthly Weather …, 2012 - journals.ametsoc.org
Smoothers are increasingly used in geophysics. Several linear Gaussian algorithms exist,
and the general picture may appear somewhat confusing. This paper attempts to stand back …

Prediction and assimilation of surf-zone processes using a Bayesian network: Part I: Forward models

NG Plant, KT Holland - Coastal engineering, 2011 - Elsevier
Prediction of coastal processes, including waves, currents, and sediment transport, can be
obtained from a variety of detailed geophysical-process models with many simulations …

DADA: data assimilation for the detection and attribution of weather and climate-related events

A Hannart, A Carrassi, M Bocquet, M Ghil, P Naveau… - Climatic Change, 2016 - Springer
We describe a new approach that allows for systematic causal attribution of weather and
climate-related events, in near-real time. The method is designed so as to facilitate its …