[HTML][HTML] Causal counterfactual theory for the attribution of weather and climate-related events
The emergence of clear semantics for causal claims and of a sound logic for causal
reasoning is relatively recent, with the consolidation over the past decades of a coherent …
reasoning is relatively recent, with the consolidation over the past decades of a coherent …
[HTML][HTML] Data-driven non-Markovian closure models
This paper has two interrelated foci:(i) obtaining stable and efficient data-driven closure
models by using a multivariate time series of partial observations from a large-dimensional …
models by using a multivariate time series of partial observations from a large-dimensional …
Probabilistic prediction of barrier‐island response to hurricanes
NG Plant, HF Stockdon - Journal of Geophysical Research …, 2012 - Wiley Online Library
Prediction of barrier‐island response to hurricane attack is important for assessing the
vulnerability of communities, infrastructure, habitat, and recreational assets to the impacts of …
vulnerability of communities, infrastructure, habitat, and recreational assets to the impacts of …
A high-altitude wind resource assessment method for decentralized wind power based on improved linear regression
L Zhang, W Song, E Sun, Q Zhang, D Wu, F Chen… - Renewable Energy, 2025 - Elsevier
As centralized wind power construction approaches saturation, the demand for
decentralized wind power in cities, enterprises, and village is gradually increasing. Unlike …
decentralized wind power in cities, enterprises, and village is gradually increasing. Unlike …
Time-varying network-based approach for capturing hydrological extremes under climate change with application on drought
Hydrologic extremes often lead to droughts and floods that adversely affect the socio-
economic development. Change in the characteristics and causes of hydrologic extremes …
economic development. Change in the characteristics and causes of hydrologic extremes …
Bayesian learning of stochastic dynamical models
P Lu, PFJ Lermusiaux - Physica D: Nonlinear Phenomena, 2021 - Elsevier
A new methodology for rigorous Bayesian learning of high-dimensional stochastic
dynamical models is developed. The methodology performs parallelized computation of …
dynamical models is developed. The methodology performs parallelized computation of …
An end-to-end assessment of extreme weather impacts on food security
Both governments and the private sector urgently require better estimates of the likely
incidence of extreme weather events, their impacts on food crop production and the potential …
incidence of extreme weather events, their impacts on food crop production and the potential …
[HTML][HTML] Smoothing problems in a Bayesian framework and their linear Gaussian solutions
Smoothers are increasingly used in geophysics. Several linear Gaussian algorithms exist,
and the general picture may appear somewhat confusing. This paper attempts to stand back …
and the general picture may appear somewhat confusing. This paper attempts to stand back …
Prediction and assimilation of surf-zone processes using a Bayesian network: Part I: Forward models
NG Plant, KT Holland - Coastal engineering, 2011 - Elsevier
Prediction of coastal processes, including waves, currents, and sediment transport, can be
obtained from a variety of detailed geophysical-process models with many simulations …
obtained from a variety of detailed geophysical-process models with many simulations …
DADA: data assimilation for the detection and attribution of weather and climate-related events
We describe a new approach that allows for systematic causal attribution of weather and
climate-related events, in near-real time. The method is designed so as to facilitate its …
climate-related events, in near-real time. The method is designed so as to facilitate its …