[HTML][HTML] Using agent-based models for prediction in complex and wicked systems

JG Polhill, M Hare, T Bauermann… - Journal of Artificial …, 2021 - jasss.soc.surrey.ac.uk
This paper uses two thought experiments to argue that the complexity of the systems to
which agent-based models (ABMs) are often applied is not the central source of difficulties …

[HTML][HTML] Don't try to predict COVID-19. If you must, use deep uncertainty methods

P Steinmann, JR Wang, GAK van Voorn… - Review of Artificial …, 2020 - rofasss.org
We respond to the recent JASSS article on COVID-19 and computational modelling. We
disagree with the authors on one major point and note the lack of discussion of a second …

How can social–ecological system models simulate the emergence of social–ecological crises?

C Brown, M Rounsevell - People and Nature, 2021 - Wiley Online Library
The idea that human impacts on natural systems might trigger large‐scale, social–ecological
'crises' or 'breakdowns' is attracting increasing scientific, societal and political attention, but …

The practice and rhetoric of prediction–the case in agent-based modelling

B Edmonds - International Journal of Social Research …, 2023 - Taylor & Francis
This paper looks at the tension between the desire to claim predictive ability for Agent-Based
Models (ABMs) and its extreme difficulty for social and ecological systems, suggesting that …

What kind of prediction? Evaluating different facets of prediction in agent-based social simulation

D Anzola, C García-Díaz - International Journal of Social Research …, 2023 - Taylor & Francis
Researchers have become increasingly interested in the potential use of agent-based
modelling for the prediction of social phenomena, motivated by the desire, first, to further …

[HTML][HTML] Basic Modelling Hygiene–keep descriptions about models and what they model clearly distinct

B Edmonds - Review of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation, 2020 - rofasss.org
The essence of a model is that it relates to something else–what it models–even if this is
only a vague or implicit mapping. Otherwise a model would be indistinguishable from any …

Models we can trust: Toward a systematic discipline of (agent-based) model interpretation and validation

G Istrate - arXiv preprint arXiv:2102.11615, 2021 - arxiv.org
We advocate the development of a discipline of interacting with and extracting information
from models, both mathematical (eg game-theoretic ones) and computational (eg agent …

Opinion dynamics in online social media

M Keijzer - 2022 - research.rug.nl
Social media have become an important source of information for many of the billions of
people who use internet on a regular basis. Pundits and scholars have warned for various …

[HTML][HTML] Tag Archives: jasss

A Ghorbani, F Lorig, B de Bruin, P Davidsson… - rofasss.org
This article is a response to the call for action to the social simulation community to
contribute to research on the COVID-19 pandemic crisis. We introduce the ASSOCC model …

[HTML][HTML] Tag Archives: JASSS-Covid19-Thread

N Gotts - rofasss.org
The place of modelling in informing policy has been highlighted by the Covid-19 pandemic.
In the UK, a specific individual-based epidemiological model, that developed by Neil …